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Freshly Picked, August 14, 2023

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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We have continued to see national demand increase as the new school year begins resulting in slightly higher markets across many commodities. We should continue to see this trend over the next few weeks. Supplies continue to remain good across most commodities, but iceberg supplies remain light.

Grains

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Weather has improved in the growing region for soybeans, so soybean oil futures fell last week; although, biofuel demand is high keeping volatility high. Canola is lower with pressure from lower soybean oil and European Canola. Palm also moved lower with pressure from soybean oil, but also due to increasing stocks.

Dairy

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Shell Egg markets mostly steady, however some softness continues in California markets. Cheese markets rally this week but could stay firm for next week. Butter markets are steady. Cream and Culture pricing will be flat to slightly up depending on categories listed below.

Beef

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Market activity is mixed, as reduced harvest, reduced demand, and higher cattle prices appear to be impacting market confidence. Middle meat is steady. Tenders and ribs have firmed. Interest is flat on loin cuts but may garner attention w/ the rib showing gains. End cuts continue to show a steady balance. Grinds continue to reflect mixed offerings and a steady tone.

Pork

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Bellies continue to be the driver of gains, while the remaining primal’s are seeing declines. Butts are continuing their race to the bottom, with loins following suit. Ribs continue to trend downwards and should continue on that trend until we get closer to Labor Day. Green hams continue to trend up with strong exports to Mexico.

Poultry

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Hot weather in the south continues to affect bird weights. Breast markets have started to strengthen as supply has tightened. Tenders are strengthening and are still in short supply. Whole birds are mostly even. Wings of all sizes are in high demand and supply is very tight. Dark meat is steady on solid demand.

Seafood

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Snow crab season is closing mid-August and pricing is firming up. Any remaining inventories of Russian King Crab should be depleted. Operators looking for replacements should look to S. American Santolla Crab and Golden King Crab as a sub. Imported shrimp inventories are at equilibrium.

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Freshly Picked, August 7, 2023

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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National demand continues to see an increase and is expected to pick up considerably in the next few weeks as schools resume, which will likely cause a bump in markets over these few weeks. Temperatures in the Salinas Valley have declined to normal temperatures for this time of the year.

Grains

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Canola was flat with farmers selling seeds. Soybean futures were nearly 6% higher again last week as hot weather persists. Palm followed the soybean oil market.

Dairy

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Butter and cheese markets both continue to increase, with more bullish overtones for the week. Shell egg markets remain steady. Cream & Culture pricing will be flat to slightly up.

Beef

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End cuts continue to show a steady balance. Cattle markets are focused on calf prices to build incentives for herd expansion. Droughts and record-high hay prices are a problem.

Pork

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Ribs and loins continue to decline. Butts are still down. Bellies, hams, and trimmings continue to increase.

Poultry

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Bird weight is being kept down due to high temperatures in the South, which is limiting production. Expect a tight-wing and tender market to continue. Dark meat is steadily in demand. Supply is tight on wings. The breast market has started to strengthen as supply has tightened.

Seafood

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Snow crab season extended in multiple areas into August due to the full quota not being caught.