Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More

Expert insights curated weekly.

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Produce

Iceberg lettuce pricing has nearly doubled in four weeks, driven by low Western yields. Tomatoes softened but remain poised for seasonal firming, while avocados stabilized near $30/carton as Mexico transitions crops.

Outlook: Expect elevated lettuce costs through late December, creating margin pressure on sandwiches, salads, and grab-and-go menus. Tomatoes should trend higher into November. Avocados appear steady, offering multi-unit buyers a reprieve from recent volatility.

Grains

Spring wheat saw midweek volatility but recovered by week’s end. Soybean oil gave back recent gains, again testing long-term support levels.

Outlook: Wheat fundamentals remain stable, though further Canadian crop reports could move markets. SBO may rebound near-term—multi-unit operators should watch for opportunities to secure frying oil coverage.

Dairy

Cheese blocks and barrels closed at $1.78/lb with steady domestic and export demand. Butter fell sharply to $2.08/lb but remains above the five-year average. NDM was unchanged at $1.26/lb.

Outlook: Cheese exports will continue to support values, while butter markets could tighten as manufacturers shift production toward retail packs ahead of the holidays. Corporate buyers should factor potential Q4 retail pull into planning.

Beef

Choice cutout advanced to $414.41/cwt, supported by tenderloins ($18.62/lb) and ribs. Striploins eased, while ground beef (81%) climbed to $4.16/lb. Trim was mixed, with 50% lean weaker and 90% lean slightly firmer.

Outlook: Holiday primals will retain counter-seasonal strength through Q4. Broader cutout values may ease post-Labor Day, but limited harvest schedules will provide some balance. Chains should plan menu features around tenderloins and ribs while closely watching lean trim for burger and grind programs.

Pork

The cutout moved lower to $111.49/cwt, though butts and ribs gained support from international sales. Loins slipped to $1.31/lb, tenderloins were steady at $1.97/lb, and bellies/trim weakened.

Outlook: Lean hog cash values are trending lower, and the cutout is expected to soften further into October. Operators relying on bacon and trim-heavy items should anticipate volatility and evaluate forward coverage.

Poultry

Harvest volumes dipped slightly from last week but remain above last year’s pace. Breasts climbed to $2.03/lb (+7% m/m), tenderloins retreated to $2.52/lb, and wings held at $1.73/lb. Thighs were mostly steady. Eggs remain soft, down nearly 30% year-over-year.

Outlook: Expect seasonal strength to return with fall retail promotions, but tariff challenges could disrupt export channels and soften wholesale values later this year. Multi-unit buyers should monitor contract exposure and consider timing future bookings around export uncertainty.

Seafood

Pollock extended its decline, down five consecutive months and 23% year-over-year. Import volumes hit a 31-year seasonal low, which should provide support for a rebound in the near term.

Outlook: Pollock prices are likely to recover briefly through fall before softening again into year-end. Chains using whitefish in value menus should plan pricing strategy with a short rally window in mind.

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive—no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

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Produce

Tomatoes corrected higher while iceberg surged 10.5% week-over-week. With the September–November rally approaching, lettuce markets show no sign of cooling and could revisit last year’s $40–$50/carton highs.

Outlook: Tomato pricing should stabilize in the short term, but lettuce is poised for sustained inflation. Multi-unit concepts should consider contracted supply or menu flexibility to manage risk.

Grains

Corn and soybeans rallied on weaker crop tour yields in Iowa and Illinois compared to USDA estimates, while wheat also eked out gains. Minnesota’s bumper crop may offset some national losses.

Outlook: Supply-side uncertainty will keep grain markets choppy. Franchises relying heavily on corn- and soy-based feed or inputs should plan for continued price swings.

Dairy

Butter softened again, down to $2.24/lb, while cheese markets were steady to weaker. Tight milk availability from summer heat is limiting production, though retail and export cheese demand is holding firm.

Outlook: Butter will remain under pressure due to weaker foodservice demand, while cheese should stay competitive on global markets. Large-scale operators can expect continued volatility in butter costs into fall.

Beef

The beef complex saw broad gains with choice cutout up 3% and tenderloins rising to $18.37/lb. Ground beef also climbed, with 81% lean up $0.29 to $4.09/lb. End cuts like chuck rolls and rounds firmed, keeping input costs elevated.

Outlook: Expect sustained strength into Labor Day and even early holiday demand for ribs and tenderloins. Multi-unit operators should lock in forward pricing where possible to control rising costs on premium cuts.

Pork

The pork cutout eased 1% to $112.60/cwt, but butts and ribs were supported by international demand. Loins were mixed, while bellies and hams weakened sharply, with hams down 14%.

Outlook: Lean hog cash prices are trending lower, and primals could face more downside pressure next month. Franchises may benefit from value cuts like butts and ribs but should watch bellies and hams for volatility.

Poultry

Harvest volumes were flat week-over-week at 171.8M head, staying slightly above last year. Whole birds eased while breast meat strengthened, with boneless/skinless breasts up 9% year-over-year. Wings dipped a penny but remain 29% lower than last year, while egg prices dropped 9% week-over-week.

Outlook: With seasonal weakness leveling off, the bigger risk now comes from new tariffs that could pressure exports and depress chicken markets through year-end—something multi-unit menus should plan around.

Seafood

Yellowfin tuna prices have dropped nearly 37% over the past three months despite easing imports. Volumes are expected to decline through November, which could support a rebound.

Outlook: Tuna may not regain the $4/lb mark until early 2026. Operators with seafood-heavy menus should weigh forward-buying strategies to protect margins during the downturn.

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive—no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

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Produce

Produce markets stabilized after recent swings. Iceberg lettuce and roma tomatoes held steady, though romas are expected to trend higher this fall. Potatoes remain quiet, signaling the early end of the pre-harvest rally.

Outlook: Expect seasonal volatility in September and October, particularly on leafy greens and tomatoes. Operators should work with supply partners now to plan alternate specifications and regional sourcing strategies to protect margins.

Grains

USDA’s WASDE report surprised the market with a sharp yield increase for corn and added acreage, creating a very heavy supply outlook. Soybeans moved in the opposite direction, with a bullish shift.

Outlook: Abundant corn supplies will limit price recovery, providing an opportunity to manage feed and ingredient costs. Soybean volatility may spill over into cooking oils — operators should assess coverage to mitigate risk in frying and ingredient programs.

Dairy

Cheese markets were mixed, with blocks down and barrels slightly higher. Butter saw the biggest decline on softer foodservice demand as cream supplies loosened. Milk production remains seasonally light but adequate.

Outlook: Retail demand for cheese is adding support, but butter markets are likely to remain pressured until the holiday baking season. Multi-unit operators should review contract utilization to ensure they’re capitalizing on favorable butter and cheese pricing windows.

Beef

Cattle futures retreated sharply, but beef cutouts climbed as buyers stock up ahead of Labor Day. Middle meats like tenderloins and ribeyes are showing seasonal strength, while end cuts such as chucks and rounds are trending higher as well. Ground beef and trim remain mixed.

Outlook: Holiday demand is keeping high-value cuts strong. Now is the time for multi-unit groups to plan end-of-year promotions and lock in forward contracts for tenderloins and ribs to protect against holiday price escalation.

Pork

Pork trade was mixed, with strong international sales of pork butts providing support. Tenderloins and ribs edged higher, while hams and loins moved lower. Trim markets were steady to softer.

Outlook: Near-term values will remain volatile. With tariffs and global trade policies creating uncertainty, multi-unit operators should closely monitor primal shifts and consider hedging strategies to stabilize food costs across locations.

Poultry

Chicken harvests remain steady year-over-year, but pricing signals are moderating. Boneless/skinless breasts gained slightly, while tenderloins slipped. Wings continue to climb month-over-month but remain far below last year’s highs. Turkey and egg markets were mixed, with eggs trending lower.

Outlook: Expect consistent supply, but keep an eye on tariffs that may impact export sales and push prices down further. Multi-unit operators should leverage volume purchasing and menu flexibility to capture value if depreciation accelerates.

Seafood

Fresh Atlantic salmon prices fell to a four-year low, down nearly 20% in the past three months. Imports remain strong, adding pressure to the market.

Outlook: While losses may slow, recovery is unlikely until salmon reaches its seasonal floor in late fall. Multi-unit operators should evaluate long-term contracts to lock in low pricing and protect menu profitability.

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive—no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

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Produce

Iceberg lettuce pricing jumped back to $25.49/carton on lighter weights and disease pressure in the West, reversing the recent cooldown from July’s peak. If supply issues persist, iceberg could approach $35/carton this fall. In contrast, 48-count Hass avocados continued their decline, hitting the lowest level since January 2024 despite seasonal shifts and tariff uncertainty.

Outlook: Lettuce remains a risk category for Q3–Q4, and large-volume buyers may need to explore alternative greens or diversify sourcing. Avocado costs should remain favorable into year-end, creating margin opportunities for concepts using guacamole or fresh slices.

Grains

Grain markets steadied after weeks of weakness, supported by strong demand and expectations for a larger U.S. corn yield—now projected at 184 bu/acre. Soymeal posted moderate gains, while wheat and corn saw minor increases. Traders remain cautious ahead of the August WASDE report.

Outlook: Larger yield projections could cap price increases, but global demand may keep corn supported above $4/bushel. Operators with grain-dependent menu items should look for contracting opportunities in the near term to lock in favorable pricing.

Dairy

Cheese led dairy market gains, with CME blocks up $0.15/lb and barrels up $0.12/lb. Butter prices fell on lighter retail demand, but tighter cream supplies added upward pressure on cream pricing. Milk production remains seasonally low but adequate for processing needs. Cheese production is steady to strong nationwide, supported by foodservice demand.

Outlook: Steady demand from restaurants should help keep cheese pricing firm. Multi-unit operators should plan for stable-to-slightly higher cheese costs into early fall and monitor cream pricing for potential downstream butter cost impacts.

Beef

Beef prices surged last week as operators stocked up ahead of Labor Day. Choice cutout climbed 5% to $378.94/cwt, driven by strong rib and tenderloin demand. While strips slipped slightly, chuck and round cuts saw firm gains. Ground beef and trim also rose, with 50% trim up $0.25 to $2.02/lb.

Outlook: Short-term demand is expected to stay elevated into the holiday window, with some early buying for year-end holiday menus already occurring. Large-scale operators should anticipate firm prices through September, especially for premium and end cuts.

Pork

Pork cutout rose 2% to $116.33/cwt, led by strength in ribs, loins, and bellies. Butts and hams softened slightly, and tenderloins eased by $0.10/lb. The belly primal posted a notable 6% gain, impacting food cost planning for breakfast and sandwich menus. Futures and cash hog prices were mixed.

Outlook: Prices could trend mixed-to-lower in the next month as summer demand tapers off. Multi-unit buyers should watch belly and rib markets closely for potential relief before holiday menu planning begins.

Poultry

USDA young chicken harvest was 170.1M head last week, down 1% from the prior week but nearly 2% above last year. Whole birds softened slightly, and white meat pricing was mixed—boneless/skinless breasts rose to $1.95/lb, tenderloins were flat, and wings inched up to $1.72/lb. Thigh meat eased, while turkey pricing jumped sharply, led by a 12% increase in boneless breasts. Egg prices fell nearly 3%.

Outlook: Seasonal price declines are slowing, but potential tariffs could dampen exports, influencing supply chain dynamics for large buyers. White meat demand remains steady due to cost efficiency, making it a strategic protein for menu stability. Prices are expected to stay flat to slightly lower until retail promotions resume in the fall.

Seafood

Cod prices fell over 12% m/m, hitting the $3.80/lb target ahead of schedule after months of steady declines. Import volumes remain light, which could help stabilize the market after a volatile first half of 2025.

Outlook: Pricing is likely to hold near current levels into year-end, but volatility risk remains. Large-scale buyers may consider forward-buying or diversifying whitefish supply to hedge against unexpected swings.

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive—no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

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Produce

Potato prices held flat, but the pre-harvest rally may be topping out. Iceberg lettuce took a nosedive—down nearly 37%—while avocados and tomatoes behaved as expected. No major supply concerns yet.

Outlook: Lettuce pricing should stabilize near its short-term floor. Avocados might bump up briefly in early August but should trend lower overall. Expect a quiet few weeks before produce pricing heats up again in late Q3.

Grains

Grain prices were down again. The rising dollar and falling soybean prices dragged the market lower—even soybean oil dipped despite improved biofuel demand.

Outlook: SBO demand for biofuels is recovering, but not enough to offset broader market weakness. Expect continued pressure unless grain exports surge or weather events shake things up.

Dairy

Cheese block and barrel prices both rose slightly, while butter edged up $0.01/lb. Milk output is lighter in hot regions, but manufacturers are keeping up with contracted demand. Butter exports remain strong thanks to competitive pricing.

Outlook: Cheese and butter markets look steady for now. Watch for heat-related dips in milk supply to influence short-term pricing, but no dramatic swings expected.

Beef

Cattle prices nudged up, but the beef cutout fell again—down over $30/cwt in a month. Ribs and tenderloins held firm, while most loin cuts and grinds softened. Trim prices dropped, especially the 50% lean variety.

Outlook: Most beef cuts have likely hit their seasonal highs. Rib and end cuts may firm up slightly, but don’t expect a major rebound across the board.

Pork

Pork prices slipped last week, with a 5% drop in the cutout. Loins, ribs, and bellies were mostly down, while tenderloins and hams bucked the trend with modest gains. Trims held steady or ticked down slightly.

Outlook: Lean hog prices are expected to fall in line with futures. Overall pork values will likely stay mixed to lower, especially with tariff uncertainty in the mix.

Poultry

Chicken prices inched up last week, with boneless breasts finally rising after 8 straight weeks of declines. Wings climbed again and are now up 25% month-over-month. Thigh meat saw mixed movement, while turkey was all over the place—boneless up, whole birds down. Egg prices also ticked up.

Outlook: The typical summer slowdown in chicken pricing is cooling off. But with tariffs looming, exports might dip. Expect flat to lower prices until fall promotions start rolling.

Seafood

Fresh Atlantic salmon continues its downward correction, now sitting 4.3% below the five-year average. Prices have dropped sharply since March but are finally stabilizing.

Outlook: The steep decline is likely behind us. Prices will keep sliding through fall, but at a slower pace. Still a good time to lean into salmon if it fits your menu.

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive—no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

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Produce

Tomatoes and lettuce are the two key watch items. Roma prices are stabilizing after a five-week climb but may spike again due to possible tariffs on Mexican imports. Iceberg lettuce prices dropped nearly 15% w/w. Avocados are softening, but typical August supply concerns may reverse that trend short term. Potatoes are following their usual slow climb ahead of harvest.

Outlook: Q4 produce costs could rise sharply due to tariffs and seasonal transitions. Monitor tomato and avocado imports closely and consider diversifying sourcing. Lock in favorable lettuce pricing now before another upward trend begins.

Grains

Corn dropped 2.1% w/w despite heat in the Corn Belt. Yields are still rated strong—best since 2017—so traders aren’t reacting to weather just yet. Export demand is solid, but not moving the market. Soybean oil saw a modest gain.

Outlook: Grain markets are holding steady for now. Keep an eye on USDA crop condition reports—any deterioration could move pricing. Maintain flexible coverage on key ingredients like corn and soybean oil to navigate potential volatility.

Dairy

Cheese prices were stable with strong export demand. Butter fell $0.11/lb but remains historically high. Spot milk availability is tighter in some areas, though contracted supply remains steady. Retail butter demand is stronger than foodservice.

Outlook: Cheese demand is steady, and pricing should remain favorable. Butter may see short-term softness, but margins remain tight. Continue to evaluate forward contracts and usage forecasts for Q4 to optimize dairy spend.

Beef

Live cattle futures climbed 1%, but wholesale beef prices are beginning to cool. Choice and select cutouts declined slightly, led by weaker loin prices. Rib meat remains elevated, and tenderloins ticked slightly higher. Ground beef and trim markets saw another drop—81% ground beef now at $3.55/lb.

Outlook: The market appears to be past peak pricing for most cuts. Expect moderate softening in loins and ground beef, while ribs and end cuts may hold or climb slightly. Evaluate shifting promotional focus toward value cuts as the market recalibrates.

Pork

Cutout values rose 1% w/w, driven by hams and bellies. However, most primals—including loins, ribs, and butts—were lower. Pork tenderloins and boneless butts saw modest declines. Spareribs fell 5%, and bone-in butts are holding near recent lows.

Outlook: Lean hog prices are creeping upward, but most cuts should remain manageable through August. Expect hams to increase as holiday buying begins. Consider pre-booking ham needs to mitigate Q4 price spikes, and reassess belly positions based on volatility.

Poultry

Chicken harvest volumes are up 3.6% YoY, leading to lower pricing across most categories. White meat is down again—boneless/skinless breasts fell to $1.86/lb (down 22% m/m), while wings rose for the eighth straight week, now up 28% m/m. Thigh meat and tenderloins are showing price softness. On the turkey side, prices are trending higher, with boneless breasts up nearly 5%.

Outlook: Expect poultry prices to remain soft through August due to seasonal dips and export tariff pressures. White meat demand should remain stable, while wings and turkey could trend higher. Consider locking in favorable breast and thigh pricing before fall promotions lift the market.

Seafood

Yellowfin tuna pricing dropped another 8.2% in May, following a 26.7% decline in April—now at its lowest point in over 14 years. Import levels remain normal but are expected to taper through fall, which could pressure prices upward.

Outlook: We’re likely at the floor for yellowfin tuna. Now is a strategic time to secure volume pricing before seasonal uptrends take hold in late Q3. Review seafood menus and prep volumes accordingly.

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive—no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

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Produce

Avocados dropped to a new YTD low ($45/carton), but supply risks may trigger a reversal soon. Iceberg lettuce and roma tomatoes posted weekly gains, while potatoes continued their upward climb.

Outlook: Produce markets remain stable but are entering a period of potential volatility. Expect seasonal increases in lettuce and tomatoes by September, and consider locking in pricing where possible.

Grains

Grain markets were relatively inactive, except for soybeans, which rebounded nearly 3% w/w after a bullish June crush report and renewed biofuel demand speculation.

Outlook: Soybeans remain susceptible to further price volatility due to policy speculation and export dynamics. Broader grain pricing should remain steady for the near term.

Dairy

Dairy prices edged down across the board. Butter dropped to $2.53/lb, while block and barrel cheese slipped by $0.05 and $0.06 respectively. Tight milk supplies in heat-impacted regions are prompting more spot market activity.

Outlook: Marginal price dips are likely to continue, though supply constraints could lead to regional cost variability. Monitor cream and milk inputs for potential disruption in dairy-heavy concepts.

Beef

Despite a 2% rise in live cattle futures, both choice and select beef cutouts declined. High-value primals like ribeyes saw modest gains, while loins, rounds, and chucks trended lower. Trim was mixed—50% lean trim fell, while 90% lean edged up.

Outlook: With subprimal values sliding and packer margins tightening, expect harvest reductions that could stabilize or slightly lift cattle prices. Multi-unit operators should plan for softer beef pricing but tighter supply control in the short term.

Pork

Hog futures declined, but the pork cutout rose 2% on the strength of hams, loins, and bellies. Butts and ribs weakened, and pork butt exports slowed considerably. Trim values continued upward momentum.

Outlook: Pricing will remain mixed. Hams are expected to firm up ahead of holiday demand, but other cuts may face downward pressure. Operators should monitor tariff volatility and shifting export demand closely.

Poultry

USDA harvest numbers held steady year-over-year, but most wholesale chicken prices declined last week. Boneless/skinless breasts fell to $1.89/lb and are now down 28% month-over-month. Wings rose for the seventh consecutive week to $1.54/lb, while thigh meat prices were mixed. Egg prices increased 4% w/w.

Outlook: A seasonal slowdown and new tariff headwinds could keep poultry prices soft through early fall. White meat remains a strong value-driven menu anchor across units.

Seafood

Cod and tilapia are both trending lower following months of inflated pricing. Cod dropped over 10% month-over-month, while tilapia is nearing seasonal averages.

Outlook: Expect additional softening in cod pricing before it stabilizes. These downward shifts may create smart substitution opportunities across protein categories for cost-effective LTOs or menu innovation.

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive—no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

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Produce

Iceberg lettuce prices have surged, nearly tripling since mid-June due to tightening supplies—an unusual move for this time of year. Potato prices are also climbing in advance of the new crop, with 60- and 70-count Idaho varieties up nearly 40% m/m.

Outlook: Expect produce markets to remain highly volatile through the fall, particularly for lettuce and potatoes. Multi-unit operators should evaluate alternative SKUs and prep solutions to maintain consistency and margins.

Grains

Corn prices continued to fall last week, despite strong U.S. export performance. Optimism around new trade deals didn’t materialize, and expectations for record-breaking crops in both the U.S. and Brazil continue to weigh heavily on the market.

Outlook: The current supply outlook will likely keep grain prices suppressed in the near term. Strategic procurement and hedging discussions may be beneficial heading into Q3.

Dairy

Butter and cheese prices were mostly flat last week. Domestic demand remains steady, though summer heat is tightening milk supply in some regions, pushing cheesemakers to secure additional volumes via the spot market.

Outlook: The dairy market remains steady but sensitive to regional production shifts. Operators should watch for any disruptions that could impact pricing or availability, especially in cheese-heavy menu categories.

Beef

Both choice and select cutouts declined, with mixed movement across primals—striploins fell while tenderloins and shortloins edged higher. Ground beef eased slightly, and 50% trim reached a new all-time high. Volatility remains across middle meats and trimmings.

Outlook: Despite a modest recovery in live cattle, cutout values remain under pressure. Operators should expect softer beef pricing in the short term as packers manage supply and seasonal demand shifts normalize.

Pork

The pork cutout rebounded 3% after the previous week’s sharp drop, led by strong belly and ham markets. Loins and tenderloins held steady, but pork butts and ribs weakened, with export sales for butts falling below expectations.

Outlook: Pork prices are likely to trend downward as global trade uncertainty and tariff speculation contribute to instability. Monitor primals closely for spot buying opportunities.

Poultry

Boneless skinless breast prices dropped sharply last week, now down 30% month-over-month, while wings rose slightly but remain well below last year’s levels. Thigh meat and drumsticks saw little movement, though boneless thigh meat is still up significantly year-over-year. Turkey prices rose, with breasts up 12% and whole birds up 6%.

Outlook: Operators should prepare for a typical seasonal dip in chicken prices, but increased harvest volumes and potential tariff challenges could accelerate the decline. White meat demand is expected to remain resilient due to its cost-effectiveness.

Seafood

Seafood prices dropped across key categories last month, with frozen tilapia down 12%. The decline followed months of inflated pricing and now places tilapia below anticipated late-summer levels. A lack of seasonal import volume increases is also shaping this trend.

Outlook: As import levels normalize, prices are expected to stabilize. Consider leveraging current softness in pricing for upcoming LTOs or protein swaps on core items.

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive—no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

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Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

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Produce

Leafy greens, broccoli, cauliflower, and Brussels sprouts are seeing higher prices due to heat and weather impacts. Bell peppers, squash, and asparagus are also tightening—particularly color varieties. Tomatoes, celery, and cucumbers are more stable. Avocados and lemons remain tight, while oranges and limes are stable but under strong demand. Grapes are transitioning to California with green varieties priced highest. Multi-units should focus on spec compliance and category substitution to protect margins.

Grains

Soybean oil saw a sharp dip last week, but market volatility continues due to global tensions and policy shifts. Canola and palm oils also eased. If your units rely on large-volume fryers, consider forward buying or alternate oil blends to hedge against price spikes.

Dairy

Eggs, cheese blocks, and butter are trending lower, offering temporary relief. Cream remains abundant. For concepts using dairy across LTOs or dessert programs, it’s a good time to evaluate pricing resets or extended contracts.

Beef

A potential strike at a major beef plant was avoided, but tight supply continues to drive pricing steady to higher. Strips and top butts are moving faster than ribs, and end cuts are firming due to lean trim demand. If beef is a menu driver across locations, consider tightening specs or optimizing portioning.

Pork

Post-holiday, pork markets softened—especially butts, ribs, and bellies, though the latter remains volatile. Loins are stable, and trim remains strong. Multi-unit operators may want to lock in favorable pricing while the market is down.

Poultry

Tenders remain constrained, with no relief expected this summer. Wing demand is up, tightening supply. Breasts, thighs, and leg meat have stabilized, offering reliable options for center-of-plate value. This is a good time to audit SKUs and assess alternates across locations.

Seafood

Seasonal seafood is front and center. Concepts looking to refresh summer menus can turn to wild salmon, tuna, snapper, swordfish, and lake fish for profitable and high-demand features. Consider cross-utilizing proteins across locations for consistency and waste reduction.

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive—no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE

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Produce

Avocados dropped 18 % to fresh YTD lows, slipping below 2024 levels. Iceberg lettuce jumped 35 % yet remains seasonally normal, and Idaho russets began their customary pre-harvest climb. Virus chatter in Western lettuce is on the radar but hasn’t shifted supply flows.

Outlook: Avocado values should stay favorable through August—good window for promotions. Lettuce likely flat until September lift; potatoes may add $1-$2/carton by mid-July. Stagger contracts to ride the avocado trough while capping potato upside.

Grains

Winter wheat erased geopolitical gains; soy oil followed crude lower despite bullish biofuel policy chatter. Traders brace for acreage & stocks data that could swing the complex.

Outlook: Near-term volatility high—basis contracts or cost-plus flour deals are prudent. Longer-term, soy oil’s story is still upward; evaluate futures or supplier caps for fryer oil heading into Q4.

Dairy

Butter nudged to $2.54/lb on solid export pull; cheese blocks eased to $1.61/lb as retail features cooled. Milk production is ebbing but still adequate; cream tightness in parts of the West could keep butter bid.

Outlook: Butter remains supported—forward cover through Q3 if pastries or sauces are core. Cheese sits in a holding pattern; consider short-term contracts and pivot to blends if prices rebound with back-to-school demand.

Beef

Live cattle futures lost 1.5 % but the choice cutout advanced to $395/cwt on record trim prices (50 % trim at $2.34/lb). Middle meats cooled slightly, and packers are signaling harvest cutbacks to manage cash cattle. End-cut values split, showing no broad weakness.

Outlook: Market should crest next week before typical mid-July slip; secure ground beef while still climbing, but delay heavy rib/loin buys until signs of that peak emerge. Multi-unit groups can leverage volume to negotiate formula pricing tied to boxed-beef averages instead of spot.

Pork

The composite cutout rose another 1 % (14 % MTD) as bellies (+4 %) and tenderloins firmed, while trims lost steam and export butt sales dried up. Futures and cash prices are decoupling—early evidence the rally is tiring.

Outlook: Expect a soft pullback in July; tariff clarity after the 90-day pause will set Q3 direction. Hedge belly needs now if bacon drives traffic, but leave flex in loin programs to capture the anticipated dip.

Poultry

Chicken harvests ran 3.6 % above last year, holding whole-bird pricing steady while boneless/skinless breasts slid to $2.39/lb (-14 % m/m) and wings lifted modestly to $1.26/lb—still half of 2024’s cost. Thigh meat retreated on light dark-meat demand; egg values inched 1 % higher after May’s correction. Supply remains balanced, but limited harvest growth is preventing oversupply.

Outlook: Seasonal softening should continue into late summer, yet value-driven retail ads will keep white meat firm. Consider locking in breast meat on short-term contracts and weighting menus toward wings while they’re historically cheap.

Seafood

Frozen cod filets hit a record $4.89/lb, extending a five-month rally and standing 27 % over last year. Historical patterns say April usually caps out, suggesting upside exhaustion.

Outlook: Prices should drift lower as imports rebuild, but budget a gradual decline—not a cliff. Hold existing inventory, defer large buys until late Q3, and diversify menus with lower-cost whitefish to protect basket margins.

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive—no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

Expert insights curated weekly.

Powered by CommodityONE