Category: CommodityOne Weekly Market Reports

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Freshly Picked, August 20, 2024

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Produce

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Tropical Storm Debby and unfavorable weather conditions in Mexico and Guatemala are impacting various commodities, resulting in expected prolonged high market prices and possible supply shortages. The temperatures in Salinas are finally beginning to drop, which is aiding in the moderation of growth rates. The growers have managed the heat effectively, and we have navigated the heat wave with minimal significant problems.

Grains

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The soybean oil market finished higher last Friday, but the weekly average was down about 2%. The soybean market fell as the upcoming WASDE report is expected to report thirty-five million more bushels. Canola moved higher, likely due to the possible Canadian rail strike. Palm was flat for the week.

Dairy

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Shell egg markets are up this week. California and Northwest markets are up except Mediums are down. The Block is increasing & Barrel decreasing. Butter is flat.

Beef

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The market has been impacted by back–to–school expenses and continued consumer budget restraints for entertainment. Middle meats inventories continue in just enough supply to keep price peaks & valleys from establishing. The chuck and round complexes continue to perform well overall. Grinds continue steady and packers look toward Labor Day.

Pork

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Butts market continue to decline. Bone–in and boneless materials have seen a bit of support for Labor Day. Loins are sideways as retail demand is up. Ribs are down again this week, supply is static, and demand continues to be soft post July. Bellies are on the rise. Trim shows limited trade activity as availability is described as tight on the spot market.

Poultry

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Wings have excess supply in the up on the open market for now. Tenders continue to be mostly steady. Jumbo breasts are seeing increased demand as further processors a bolstered demand. Medium and small breasts have steadied. Dark meat demand remains very good. Whole birds are mostly balanced.

Seafood

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As markets have firmed up on groundfish items. The prices of imported, farm-raised, white, and black tiger shrimp are gaining strength and firming depending upon sizes due to rising shipping costs, delays in shipment arrivals, and shortages of shipping containers to load the products.

 

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Freshly Picked, August 12, 2024

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Produce

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Tropical Storm Debby and adverse weather conditions in Mexico and Guatemala continue to affect several commodities, leading to anticipated extended periods of elevated market prices and potential supply shortages.

Grains

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The soybean oil market continued to move downward last week with pressure from fund selling, lower crude oil, much lower equities, and a good soybean crop outlook. Canola moved lower with pressure from the soybean oil market. Palm oil was flat even with the much lower soy and Canola. Palm’s balance sheet is looking good.

Dairy

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Shell egg markets are up this week. California and Northwest markets are up. On Saturday, July 27th Hickman’s Family Farms production facility in Tonopah, Arizona had one of their production barns destroyed and two others damaged by fire. The Block is decreasing & Barrel are increasing. Butter is up.

Beef

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The beef market continues weighed down by middle meats, especially on Choice and Select cuts. Limited harvest are allowing thin meats to creep higher. The chuck and round complexes found balance overall; standouts are chuck rolls and inside rounds, as need for retail value cuts along w/ lean grind material bolstered demand. Grinds continued steady and look to gain traction.

Pork

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Butts market continue to decline but only slightly. Bone-in and boneless materials have seen a bit of support for Labor Day. Loins are steady. Ribs supply is steady, and demand continues to be soft post July. Bellies are on the rise. Trim shows limited trade activity as availability is described as tight on the spot market, so continue to climb.

Poultry

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Wings have excess supply in the up on the open market for now. Tenders continue to be mostly steady. Jumbo breasts are seeing increased demand as further processors a bolstered demand. Medium and small breasts have steadied. Dark meat demand remains very good. Whole birds are mostly balanced.

Seafood

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As markets have firmed up on groundfish items. The prices of imported, farm-raised, white, and black tiger shrimp are gaining strength and firming depending upon sizes due to rising shipping costs, delays in shipment arrivals, and shortages of shipping containers to load the products.

 

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Freshly Picked, August 5, 2024

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Produce

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Adverse weather conditions and seasonal changes in growing regions in Mexico, Guatemala, and the U.S. are still impacting multiple commodities. As a result, we anticipate prolonged periods of increased market prices and possible supply shortages.

Grains

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Soybean oil was lower last week as funds are selling contracts. The US crop looks excellent, the weather is favorable, technical data favors a downturn, and the EPA announced new rules that could lessen the demand for biodiesel. Canola is higher with some growing areas dry with crop damage. Palm is higher with increased demand.

Dairy

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Shell egg markets are up this week. California and Northwest markets are up. The Block & Barrel are increasing. Butter is down.

Beef

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With limited harvest, thin meats increased in price; continued demand for chucks and rounds are still bolstering those cuts, as need for lean trimmings continue to be top of mind. Grinds are leveling off and having to compete w/ other proteins. Upper 2/3 grade and PRIME product is limited, and prices are starting to firm.

Pork

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Butts market continue to decline. Boneless Loins are steady, but softer for bone in as there is increased supply. Ribs overall continue to dive downward as supply has increased. The belly market is still being called as unsettled. The bottom has fallen out of trimmings, supply is getting tighter and 72’s & 42’s continued to increase significantly on the week.

Poultry

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Wings have started to loosen up on the open market. Tenders continue to be mostly steady. Jumbo and medium breasts are mostly balanced. Small breasts are seeing some excess supply. Dark meat demand remains very good. Whole birds are mostly balanced.

Seafood

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Wild salmon season is in full swing and domestic shrimp has been at great value all year with steady prices. Wild domestic shrimp and wild domestic salmon are great additions to summer menus that customers look for. Be sure and check out all that Portico fish and shrimp offer in Wild and Domestic selections!

 

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Freshly Picked, July 29, 2024

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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Adverse weather patterns and seasonal decreases in Mexico, Guatemala, and the U.S. continue to affect these growing regions. Consequently, extended periods of higher market prices and potential shortages in supply are expected. Growers are persisting through the heat by adjusting their harvesting schedules to earlier in the day to ensure a steady supply. The inland valley is facing weather-related challenges due to the high temperatures.

Grains

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Soybean oil moved down last week, albeit, very little, with increased supply reported and very good crop conditions being reported. Canola moved higher last week as European rapeseed is struggling with drought and Canadian oil is more in demand. Palm exports have increased, but so has palm production.

Dairy

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Shell egg markets are up this week. California and Northwest markets are up. Farm in Colorado was identified as HPAI positive over the weekend with an expected loss of approximately 1.3 million birds at least primarily cage free. The Block & Barrel are increasing. Butter is down.

Beef

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The dog days of summer are here, and packers cannot seem to get out from under growing inventories and stagnant demand. Tenders, ribs, and strips continue to challenge packers. Meanwhile chucks and rounds for the most part are holding value due to lean trim shorts and demand from consumers for affordable ground beef.

Pork

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Butts market continue to decline. Loins are steady. Loins are steady for B/I. Ribs overall continue to dive downward as supply has increased. The belly market is still unsettled but may be leveling out. The bottom has fallen out of trimmings, supply is getting tighter and 72’s & 42’s continued to increase significantly on the week.

Poultry

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Chicken Wings have started to loosen up on the open market, especially in the small size. Tenders continue to be mostly steady. Jumbo and medium breasts were mostly even. Small breasts are seeing some excess supply. Dark meat demand remains very good. Whole birds are mostly balanced.

Seafood

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Wild salmon season is in full swing and domestic shrimp has been at great value all year with steady prices. Wild domestic shrimp and wild domestic salmon are great additions to summer menus that customers look for. Be sure and check out all that Portico fish and shrimp offer in Wild and Domestic selections!

 

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Freshly Picked, July 22, 2024

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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Adverse weather conditions, transitions, and seasonal declines in Mexico, Guatemala, and the U.S. are still impacting various agricultural regions and products. As a result, prolonged periods of elevated market prices and potential supply shortages are anticipated. The weather in the Salinas Valley has returned to normal temperatures, but the inland valleys are still experiencing very hot conditions. Growers have successfully managed the heat by harvesting earlier in the day to maintain supplies, but some challenges may still be ahead.

Grains

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After the last week’s market move, soybean oil futures moved lower overall, though the week was volatile. The USDA released a report highlighting higher stocks for beans & oil sending the market lower. Canola also received good crop outlook news, so it fell. Palm followed soy lower.

Dairy

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Shell egg markets are up this week. California and Northwest markets are up. Farm in Colorado was identified as HPAI positive over the weekend with an expected loss of approximately 1.3 million birds at least primarily cage free. The Block & Barrel are increasing. Butter is down.

Beef

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Downward pressure developed across the higher value cuts of the animal. Choice & Select B/I & BNLS ribs bore the brunt with excess supply driving bids lower. Loins driving strips, short loins, & tender bids lower. Chucks experienced slight weakness not to the extent of middle meats. Limited supply of lean trimmings continue to bolster the round and grind complex.

Pork

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Butts market declined on the weak. Material is steady – pulled pork demand is moderate. Loins are steady but retail features could drive the market upward. Spareribs have tighter price ranges, St. Louis and back ribs are considered steady. The belly market is unsettled trading in wide price ranges. The bottom has fallen out of trimmings.

Poultry

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Wings and tenders continue to be hottest part of the bird. The wing market continues to show growth despite being in a traditional slow time for wing demand. Breast have started to even out. Dark meat demand remains very good. Whole birds are mostly balanced.

Seafood

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Wild salmon season is in full swing and domestic shrimp has been at great value all year with steady prices. Wild domestic shrimp and wild domestic salmon are great additions to summer menus that customers look for. Be sure and check out all that Portico fish and shrimp offer in Wild and Domestic selections!

 

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Freshly Picked, July 15, 2024

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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Unfavorable weather patterns and seasonal decreases in Mexico, Guatemala, and the U.S. continue to affect different growing areas and commodities. Consequently, these issues are expected to result in prolonged periods of higher market prices and possible supply shortages. For the Salinas Valley, weather challenges will continue through July as temperatures have been very hot. While the early harvesting had caused some issues with supplies, the heat wave may now also be a factor in causing more supply issues. While we have been seeing good quality on most items and supply was improving, the heat wave will likely be impacting that progress.

Grains

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The soybean oil market was on fire last week. Due to the recent market lows, biofuel manufacturers entered back into the market and pushed the market nearly 16% higher. It took Canola oil and palm oil higher, too.

Dairy

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Shell Egg markets remain steady with steady demand. California eggs re still dropping slightly. Cheese and butter markets are both up due to increased demand. Cream and culture pricing will have nominal increases for July. Processed Eggs will see a decrease for July as Avian Influenza is not a factor this season.

Beef

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Packers continue to pay more for cattle and are left with the need to balance cost w/ return on investment going forward. Middle meats have slowed and anything grading less than upper 2/3 programs on strip, rib, and sirloin sub–primals are encountering resistance. Insides, chucks, and grinds continue steady; due to need for lean material for ground beef.

Pork

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Butts continue to come down as post–holiday demand was expected to be weak. Loins are still down as demand has tapered off, but based on historical trends, could still rebound. Ribs took a hit this week, as demand has waned. The belly market continues its downward trend for several weeks, but experts are still calling this market volatile. Trimmings are down with good supply.

Poultry

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Wings and tenders continues to be the hottest part of the bird and excess supply is nonexistent. The wing market continues to show growth despite being in a traditional slow time for wing demand. Breast have started to even out. Dark meat demand remains very good. Whole birds are mostly balanced.

Seafood

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Wild salmon season is in full swing and domestic shrimp have been at great value all year with steady prices. Wild domestic shrimp and wild domestic salmon are great additions to summer menus that customers look for. Be sure and check out all that Portico fish and shrimp offer in Wild and Domestic selections!

 

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Freshly Picked, July 8, 2024

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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Adverse weather conditions and seasonal decline in Mexico, Guatemala, and the U.S. are still impacting various growing regions and commodities. As a result, it is anticipated that these challenges will lead to extended periods of elevated market prices and potential shortages in supply. The Salinas Valley, as well as most of California, is heading for a heat wave, and while the early harvesting has caused some issues with supply, the heat wave may also be a factor in future supply issues. Despite this, the quality of most items has improved, and the supply situation is better. However, we need to closely monitor all commodities as temperatures are expected to exceed 100 degrees in certain areas.

Grains

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While soybean oil moved lower last week, the sideways trading trend continues. The USDA released its acreage report and corn won some acres over soybeans. Soybeans are higher, now, but so are meal and oil this week. Palm moved lower with soybean oil, Canola was flat.

Dairy

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Shell egg markets are down this week. California and Northwest markets are flat. The Block is increasing & Barrel are decreasing. Blocks were above barrels today for the first time in 6 weeks. Butter is flat. Sources suspect inflation may be impacting travel plans this year.

Beef

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Packers did encounter facility challenges this week, this helped limit supply and held trade levels flat. Middle meats continue to trade steady across the strip, rib, and sirloin sub–primals. Tenderloins continue to trade under pressure. Insides, chucks, and grinds continue steady; due to need for lean material for holiday grind ads. With limited supply, thin meat demand should spike near–term.

Pork

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Butts came down as the market took a significant drop right before the July 4th holiday. Loins are still down as demand has tapered off, but should start to rebound. Ribs are still holding strong. The belly market has continued its downward trend for several weeks. The bottom has fallen out of trimmings as supply is up.

Poultry

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Wings and tenders continue to be hottest part of the bird and excess supply is nonexistent. The wing market continues to show growth despite being in a traditional slow time for wing demand. Breast have started to strengthen again as demand continue to pick up. Dark meat demand remains very good. Whole birds are mostly balanced.

Seafood

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Snow crab season is 70% met in terms of quota. Harvest is good but not great with more 5/8oz clusters available. With king crab supply being short, Dungeness and snow crab are the best alternative. Wild Salmon is in season.

 

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Freshly Picked, June 24, 2024

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Produce

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The volatile markets across various commodities have been attributed to weather-related problems such as excessive heat and rainfall and a shortage of USDA inspectors, specifically affecting the avocado industry. As a result, it is anticipated that these challenges will lead to higher market prices and potential gaps in supply. The temperature in the Salinas Valley is rising, and the early harvest is still causing supply problems, but there has been a gradual improvement. Although the warmer weather is beneficial, it will take time to recover fully. Consequently, we can expect volatile markets for most commodities.

Grains

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Soybean oil traded within a very tight range and was flat for the week. Palm oil supply and demand is balanced, and Canola followed palm and soy. From actual activity, the markets were very busy. Planting for soybean and Canola is really moving nicely with good weather.

Dairy

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Shell egg markets flat this week. The Block & Barrel are up. Milk volumes are noted to be tighter than in recent weeks as temperatures rise. Butter is down. Cream availability is tightening to various degrees throughout the country, butter producers indicate cream volumes are generally able to meet processing needs.

Beef

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Packers continue to eye higher cattle cost, while buyers continue to experience slower sales. Middle meats continue to trade mostly steady. Tenderloins continue to trade under pressure from lagging consumer demand. Insides, chucks, and grinds continue steady. The COF report will be released on Friday; the on–feed number is projected to be 1.1% below a year ago.

Pork

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Pork butts are relatively flat for next week, expect markets to trend up after this flat week. Spareribs look to be coming down while backribs and St. Louis are flat. Bellies are also coming down as demand has come down. Loins are following suit with pork butts.

Poultry

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Wings and tenders continue to be hottest part of the bird and excess supply is nonexistent. The wing market continues to show growth despite being in a traditional slow time for wing demand. The breast market was steady this week as supply and demand has leveled off. Dark meat demand remains very good. Whole birds are balanced.

Seafood

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Snow crab season is 70% met in terms of quota. Harvest is good but not great with more 5/8oz clusters available. With king crab supply being short, Dungeness and snow crab are the best alternative. Wild Salmon is in season.

 

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Freshly Picked, June 17, 2024

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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Weather conditions are once again causing disruptions on both the east and west coasts, leading to a slowdown in the progress we had observed in recent weeks. As a result, markets are experiencing an increase in prices due to lower yields. The Salinas Valley’s weather conditions are still hindering acreage productivity. To keep up with demand, the industry is harvesting early, leading to a limited supply of crops. Below-average ground temperatures stunt crop growth, resulting in high commodity market prices. Regrettably, this unfavorable weather pattern is forecasted to persist into June.

Grains

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The whole soybean complex was lower. The lower markets are pointing to lower soybean oil in the future. Crush margins are falling again for crushers, which, if sustained, could lead to higher basis levels. Planting is doing very well. It is wet in some areas, but overall planting for beans is ahead of schedule.

Dairy

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Shell egg markets flat this week except for Large & Medium shell eggs. California and Northwest markets are also flat. The Block is up & Barrel are flat. Some manufacturers have shared they are seeing increased interest in aged cheeses. Butter is up. Bulk butter overages range from 1 to 10 cents above markets.

Beef

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Economic strains on the consumer are pushing focus to value cuts. Flank and flap, appear to be in a lull due to a possible price reset. Ribs and tenders continue to disappoint as buyers steer clear of high prices. Top sirloins and strips are stars leading to higher prices. Insides, chucks, and grinds continue steady; supporting each other due to use of lean material for Father’s Day.

Pork

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Pork butts are finally trending down coming off the Memorial Day. As supplies tighten and customers prepare for the July 4th holiday expect markets to hold strong. Ribs are still considered a strong market even though we are seeing spares come down, backribs and St. Louis continue to rise. Bellies are relatively flat for next week as demand is steady. 72 trim is up.

Poultry

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Tenders continue to be hottest part of the bird and excess supply is nonexistent. Wings continue to be in high demand despite the summer season being here and supply is limited. Jumbo and medium breasts supply has improved as hatchability and bird weights are improving. Dark meat demand remains very good.

Seafood

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North Atlantic Lobster tails supply is improving, and prices are coming down. Markets are steady week–over–week. Seafood sector is gearing up for big holidays going into summer and operators are revamping summer menus.

 

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Freshly Picked, June 11, 2024

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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Weather conditions in the eastern region have started to show signs of improvement, while the delayed rainy season in Mexico and ongoing drought conditions may lead to unpredictable crop cycles through the 2024-25 season. Nevertheless, we are still witnessing the persistent consequences that have affected different commodities, leading to reduced yields and consequently causing an increase in market prices. Production in South Georgia is increasing for various items, although squash will remain scarce due to weather-related challenges. Over the next ten days, we anticipate tight markets in the region and the West Coast on chile peppers, including tomatillos, shishitos, and serranos, will continue to be in short supply and volatile for the next few weeks.

Grains

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Soybean oil futures moved higher last week. With good planting progress, good weather, ample South American supply, and large fund selling, the move seemed more like keeping in step with higher palm than anything else. Expect the market to trend lower into next week. Canola, too, was higher.

Dairy

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Shell egg markets are all up. The latest HPAI outbreaks only directly affect Michael Foods. The two farms are a blend of both Conventional and Cage Free egg layers (hens). The Block & Barrel are decreasing. Cheese production schedules are steady to stronger throughout the U.S. Butter is up. Cream is tightening.

Beef

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The market continues to be unsettled as packers and buyer have different ideas on which direction the market will move this summer. Ribs, strips, and top butts are holding steady. Tenders continue to disappoint as consumers shy away from higher prices. Insides, chucks, and grinds are steady as customer look for bargains. Increased harvest could lead to a market adjustment prior to next holiday.

Pork

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Butts have softened as expected but not at the rate forecasted after Memorial Day. Spare ribs remain volatile due to constraints from demand and St. Louis production. Backribs are trending up and should continue throughout June. Boneless loins will follow suit with butts on their normal season decline until later in the month. Bellies continue to be a rollercoaster.

Poultry

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Tenders continue to be hottest part of the bird and excess supply is nonexistent. Wings continue to be in high demand despite the summer season being here and supply is limited. Jumbo breasts supply has improved as hatchability has improved. Dark meat demand remains very good. Whole birds are mostly balanced.

Seafood

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North Atlantic Lobster tails supply is improving, and prices are coming down. Markets are steady week–over–week. Seafood sector is gearing up for big holidays going into summer and operators are revamping summer menus.