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Freshly Picked, October 19, 2026
October 19, 2026 CommodityOne Weekly Market ReportsBy Melissa Evans

Freshly Picked, October 19, 2026

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More
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Poultry

poultry commodity update exclusively for consolidated concepts clients powered by CommodityONE

Poultry pricing continues to diverge by cut: breasts, tenders and wings softened, while thighs and leg quarters strengthened. Production is slowing as producer margins compress, despite strong consumption. Multiunit buyers should review cut specifications and menu exposure across concepts before applying a single poultry-cost assumption.

Outlook: Strong consumption and a slower production pace create future firming risk, even while selected white-meat cuts offer near-term relief.

Beef

Beef commodity updates exclusively for consolidated concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE.

Boxed beef and trim moved lower as weekly production recovered, but seasonal rib strength persisted. Year-to-date output remains below last year, and new screwworm cases could delay a cattle-import reopening. Separate rib requirements from trim and other beef needs when evaluating portfolio-wide purchasing exposure.

Outlook: Improved supplies should moderate fall beef pricing, but rib seasonality and cattle-import disruption could limit relief in specific categories.

Pork

Pork commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

The pork cutout reached a more-than-three-year low, led lower by hams and ribs, while bellies remained sharply below year-earlier levels. Weekly production declined, but a substantial fourth-quarter seasonal increase is forecast. Buyers can reassess pork’s relative value across concepts without assuming every cut moves together.

Outlook: Higher projected fourth-quarter production and lackluster consumption favor continued pork-price pressure, despite constrained hog slaughter.

Produce

Produce commodity updates exclusively for Consolidated Concepts, powered by CommodityONE

Iceberg lettuce’s rally, rising tomatoes and an unexpected potato increase are complicating produce budgets, while Hass avocados continue to soften. Western growing issues remain unresolved. Multiunit teams should distinguish commodity-wide pressure from location-specific invoice changes and consider approved menu alternatives where specifications allow.

Outlook: Lettuce and tomato pressure should persist near term, with eventual potato relief and avocado stabilization offering only partial offsets.

Dairy

dairy commodity update from consolidated concepts week of march 18 2025

Spot dairy strengthened broadly, with record whey pricing and cheese blocks at a one-year high; nonfat dry milk was the exception. Milk availability is improving seasonally, and cheese inventories are adequate to ample. Procurement teams should distinguish current exchange moves from the lagged signals affecting distributor cheddar pricing.

Outlook: Distributor cheddar is expected to soften over the coming weeks, but recent spot gains argue against assuming uninterrupted dairy-cost declines.

Grains

grains commodity update from consolidated concepts

Corn outperformed a broadly weaker grain complex but approached the closely watched $4.80 level. Export sales improved, and the global balance sheet remains tight. For multiunit planning, use alternative grain-cost scenarios rather than treating a futures move as an automatic change in contracted or delivered costs.

Outlook: A break below $4.80 could expose corn to $4.40, while export demand may help stabilize the market.

Seafood

seafood commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Fresh yellowfin tuna’s sharp August increase interrupted a prolonged period of below-normal pricing. Easing import volumes and the commentary’s longer-term recovery view warrant attention when setting seafood assumptions. Keep near-term purchasing plans separate from longer-horizon exposure rather than extrapolating one month’s increase across the portfolio.

Outlook: Yellowfin may soften modestly through year-end before a January increase, with further upside risk into 2027 and beyond.

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive-no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

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Commodity updates exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE.
October 12, 2026 CommodityOne Weekly Market ReportsBy Melissa Evans

Freshly Picked, October 12, 2026

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More
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Poultry

poultry commodity update exclusively for consolidated concepts clients powered by CommodityONE

Chicken prices edged higher, but breast meat, tenders and wings remain favorably priced for operators, with tenders running 21% below year-ago levels. Weekly chicken production is trailing last year as producers limit chick placements, while egg and turkey breast markets remain relatively steady.

Outlook: Lower chick placements are expected to support chicken prices through fall and into winter, potentially narrowing today’s buying opportunities.

Beef

Beef commodity updates exclusively for consolidated concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE.

Beef production remains below year-ago levels, but lighter supply hasn’t translated into across-the-board price increases. Choice and Select boxed beef prices declined roughly 1% last week, led by briskets, loins and rounds, while trim markets were mixed. Strong imports continue to provide additional supply, helping ease pressure on lean trim.

Outlook: Beef trim prices are expected to remain soft this fall, even as tighter domestic production remains a concern for the broader beef market.

Pork

Pork commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Pork continues to offer value for operators, with all major cuts priced below year-ago levels—some by nearly 30%. Higher weekly production pushed prices lower across every primal, while weak domestic demand and softer August exports added pressure.

Outlook: Favorable pork pricing should persist through fall, although belly prices may begin to establish a longer-term floor.

Produce

Produce commodity updates exclusively for Consolidated Concepts, powered by CommodityONE

Lettuce remains the biggest produce cost concern, with 24-count iceberg prices climbing 374% over eight consecutive weeks and approaching $50 per carton. Roma tomatoes are also trending higher, while Hass avocado prices resumed their decline after briefly stabilizing near $30 per carton.

Outlook: Lettuce and tomato pricing could remain elevated into November, while avocados offer near-term relief ahead of their typical first- and second-quarter price increases.

Dairy

dairy commodity update from consolidated concepts week of march 18 2025

Dairy markets were mixed in their underlying drivers, with cheese blocks, nonfat dry milk and whey moving higher last week. Adequate milk supplies continue to support ample cheese and butter production, and cheese inventories remain heavy despite record August exports. Whey stands out as a pressure point, with international price increases helping lift the U.S. market to record highs.

Outlook: Ample supply and flat domestic cheese consumption should limit cheese price increases this fall, while whey remains a cost concern.

Grains

grains commodity update from consolidated concepts

Grain prices declined across the board after the USDA’s October reports pointed to a heavier supply outlook, particularly for corn. A higher corn yield estimate increased projected availability, and stronger demand forecasts were not enough to offset the added supply.

Outlook: Corn prices are likely to remain under pressure unless export demand strengthens enough to absorb the larger projected supply.

Seafood

seafood commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Frozen Alaskan pollock fillet prices jumped 14.2% in August, significantly outpacing the 3.8% increase in frozen cod fillets. Import volumes remained well below normal for a third consecutive month, leaving the U.S. market undersupplied and keeping pressure on pricing.

Outlook: Pollock prices could climb further through year-end, with meaningful relief potentially delayed until well into 2027.

 

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive-no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

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Freshly Picked, October 6, 2026
October 6, 2026 CommodityOne Weekly Market ReportsBy Melissa Evans

Freshly Picked, October 6, 2026

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More
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Poultry

poultry commodity update exclusively for consolidated concepts clients powered by CommodityONE

Poultry slaughter remained managed last week. Young bird production fell 2% from the prior week and was 2% below the same week a year ago. Output for the week ending September 26 rose nearly 4% week over week but fell 1.4% year over year, and 2026 year-to-date weekly production is just 1.4% above last year. Monthly figures have been stronger than the USDA weekly estimates: August chicken production came in 3.3% above last year, on a comparable increase in slaughter. The six-week chick placement average is essentially even with last year, so production looks set to stay tempered for at least the rest of October. Many chicken markets still declined last week, including breasts, wings, and leg quarters, while table egg markets edged slightly higher.

Outlook: The industry broadly expects chicken output growth to stay tempered this fall, and the USDA currently forecasts Q4 production up 2.3% from 2025. Breasts and tenders typically decline in October, though. Tenders have been lower in October than in September in 10 of the last 11 years.

Beef

Beef commodity updates exclusively for consolidated concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE.

Beef output rebounded 13.2% from the previous week, which had been hit by operational disruptions, but remained 2.8% below the same week last year. Late-week cattle imports from Mexico rose to an estimated 7,000-plus head, the highest in well over a year. Beef markets were mixed. They gained early as slaughter attempted to recover, then eased as the week went on. The USDA Choice and Select boxed beef cutouts each rose less than 1% on the week. Ribs and Select briskets posted the biggest gains, while flanks stayed soft and have dropped more than 7% over the last four weeks. Beef 90 trim was lower, and all other trim markets were higher. Cattle imports from Mexico are moving in the right direction, but domestic cattle supplies still need to improve. Pasture conditions, which are essential to herd development, remain historically poor. Only 19% of pasture was rated good or excellent last week, the lowest reading for that week in over three decades.

Outlook: Fall beef production is projected to run near 3% below a year ago. The National Weather Service indicates drought conditions in cattle country should improve over the coming months, which could drive much stronger herd expansion momentum as the new year gets underway.

Pork

Pork commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Pork output increased 0.5% from the prior week but was 2.3% below 2025, and year-to-date weekly production is now 0.1% under last year. Markets were mixed, with many sitting at historically low levels. The pork cutout fell 1.4%, along with declines in ribs, loins, and hams. The major trim markets were lower as well, with 42s at their lowest point since May. History points to further declines, since the 42 trim market has averaged lower in October than in September in eight of the last nine years. Pork supplies have been limited this year despite heavier hog weights, and that looks likely to continue this fall. Late last month, the USDA put the March through May 2026 pig crop 0.4% below the prior year, the smallest for that period since 2022. Those pigs reach slaughter this fall, so the USDA projects Q4 pork output at well less than 1% above 2025.

Outlook: Limited supply and already-low prices could temper seasonal downside in some pork markets in the coming weeks, including bellies. The USDA pork belly primal has averaged lower in December than in September in each of the last seven years.

Produce

Produce commodity updates exclusively for Consolidated Concepts, powered by CommodityONE

Outside of lettuce, the big five produce sectors saw little movement last week. 24-count iceberg gained another 30% week over week and has nearly quadrupled in price since the first week of August. One more week of gains at that pace would bring iceberg to around $50, the level where these late-year rallies usually end, which could mean a slowdown by mid-October. This year’s rally started a few weeks earlier than usual, however, so substantial relief may not arrive until well into November. Tomatoes have upside between now and December but eased back last week, which was somewhat unexpected. That downturn shouldn’t last more than another week or two. 48-count Hass avocados were basically level week over week.

Outlook:Lettuce could slow by mid-October, though substantial relief may not come until well into November. Tomatoes still have room to rise before December, and avocados will hopefully hold level through the end of the year.

Dairy

dairy commodity update from consolidated concepts week of march 18 2025

Friday’s CME spot dairy session was light, with just 14 loads traded. For the week, CME cheese blocks and butter moved lower, while dry whey and nonfat dry milk remained firm. The nonfat dry milk weekly average rose to a 19-week high and is within a dime of a multi-decade high. Constrained production has limited nonfat dry milk supplies. Domestic buyers are limiting purchases, but export demand remains solid. Butter demand is solid domestically, and export sales are outpacing it. Cheese markets traded at their lowest levels since 2020, pressured by strong milk and cheese production and historically large stocks. U.S. cold storage cheese inventory at the end of August was 2.3% larger than a year earlier, the largest in three years and the fourth largest on record.

Outlook: U.S. cheese is trading at its steepest discount to the E.U. since February, which should encourage exports. Downside price risk in cheese from here could be nominal.

Grains

grains commodity update from consolidated concepts

All the grains closed lower last week. Corn and soybean meal led the losses, while soybeans and soybean oil held closer to even. Nearly all of corn’s losses came Wednesday afternoon, after the September 1 Quarterly Grain Stocks Report. The trade had expected corn stocks to come in near the 1.922 billion bushel 2025/26 carryout printed in the September WASDE. The report showed almost 2.1 billion bushels on and off farms as of September 1, well above even the highest trade expectations. The 2026/27 carry-in will be adjusted to match. With export demand off to a slower start this year, that 173 million bushel increase may carry all the way through to the 2026/27 carryout.

Outlook: December corn has dropped back to its closest technical support at $5. If the selloff doesn’t bring in new export demand, corn could struggle to hold that level this month.

Seafood

seafood commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Frozen Alaskan pollock filet slipped just 2% month over month in the July data and continues to move closely with cod. Like cod, pollock snapped a four-month winning streak during which its average price rose nearly 33%. The decline came even though import volumes are still running well below normal, which hints at some demand destruction in the U.S. That needs to continue for prices to trend lower, since the pollock market usually doesn’t reach its yearly high until Q4. Last year was an outlier, but from 2018 through 2024, pollock peaked between October and December six times.

Outlook: Pollock will likely pick up seasonal support toward the end of 2026, so a more noteworthy downward correction probably won’t come until Q1 2027.

 

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive-no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

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Freshly Picked, September 28, 2026
September 28, 2026 CommodityOne Weekly Market ReportsBy Melissa Evans

Freshly Picked, September 28, 2026

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More
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Freshly Picked Insights

Poultry

poultry commodity update exclusively for consolidated concepts clients powered by CommodityONE

Chicken production showed some mixed signals last week. Young bird slaughter improved 2.5% from the prior week, but remained 1% below the same week last year, while production for the week ending September 19 was 6% lower year over year. Even with that recent slowdown, year-to-date chicken output is still running 1.6% above 2025. On pricing, most chicken markets were steady, but boneless skinless thighs rose more than 3% and continue to command unusually strong premiums compared with breasts and tenders. Producers appear to be slowing output growth as margins tighten under low chicken prices and higher feed costs, though a 2% larger broiler layer inventory suggests production could expand again this winter if profitability improves.

Outlook: Seasonal price declines may still occur, but tighter near-term supplies should help keep downside limited, especially for breasts, tenders, and wings.

Beef

Beef commodity updates exclusively for consolidated concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE.

Beef production tightened sharply last week, falling 8.4% from the previous week and 12.5% below last year, driven in part by disruptions at major Kansas processing plants that account for nearly 20% of capacity. Boxed beef values moved higher, with both Choice and Select cutouts up on the week and roughly even with year-ago levels. On the supply side, the September 1 cattle-on-feed inventory was 0.8% above last year, but August placements were down 9.2% and marked the smallest August total in at least 30 years. Imports from Mexico are beginning to recover, with volumes last week reportedly the strongest in over a year, though with only two ports open, the near-term boost is expected to be modest.

Outlook: Beef production should improve quarter over quarter into the fourth quarter, but overall supplies are still expected to remain below 2025 levels, keeping the market fundamentally supported.

Pork

Pork commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Pork production increased 3% from the prior week and was essentially flat with last year, up just 0.1%, while year-to-date output remains 0.1% below the prior year. Even with that slight weekly increase, the broader supply picture remains tight: the latest USDA Hogs and Pigs report showed the total herd was 1.5% below 2025, the breeding herd was also down 1.5%, sows farrowing fell 2.7%, and the pig crop declined 1.5%. On the pricing side, the USDA pork cutout fell to its lowest level in more than two years, with picnics, ribs, loins, and butts all lower, while bellies and hams posted gains. Pork trim held mostly flat to firm but remains close to 30% below year-ago levels.

Outlook: Limited hog supplies this fall should help cushion the market and may prevent a much deeper seasonal decline in pork prices.

Produce

Produce commodity updates exclusively for Consolidated Concepts, powered by CommodityONE

Produce pricing was led by a sharp move higher in lettuce, with 24-count iceberg up 34.2% week over week to a 12-week high. That suggests the usual late-year lettuce rally may be arriving earlier than expected, with more upside likely through mid-November. Tomatoes were flat last week, but 25 lb. large romas still have upside risk and could climb to around $30 per carton by the end of November before easing into the new year. Avocados were comparatively quiet, with 48-count Hass avocados ending a six-week slide and moving modestly higher, returning to the $20 to $30 per carton range, which is considered more typical for this time of year.

Outlook: Expect continued upward pressure on lettuce and tomatoes through fall, while avocado pricing should remain relatively stable.

Dairy

dairy commodity update from consolidated concepts week of march 18 2025

Dairy markets were mostly firmer last week, although activity remained light with just 24 CME spot loads traded on Friday. Cheese blocks were the exception, falling to their lowest level in more than nine months, while nonfat dry milk climbed to its highest point since late May. Butter availability has tightened due to strong domestic and export demand, while cheese inventories remain available with bulk product trading below CME values. On the production side, August milk output increased 1.7% year over year, setting a record for the month, and the milk cow herd was also 1.7% larger than last year, the biggest in more than 30 years. However, milk per cow was flat to 2025 and only 0.7% above August 2024, suggesting productivity growth may be slowing.

Outlook: Dairy markets should remain generally supported, with butter and powder strength helping offset limited downside in cheese.

Grains

grains commodity update from consolidated concepts

Grain markets moved lower across most categories last week, with soybean meal the only major segment posting gains. Much of the weakness came in the second half of the week, led by wheat, as attention turned to renewed diplomatic discussions around reopening trade through the Black Sea. December Chicago wheat had been approaching technical support near $7 per bushel, but ultimately broke below that level. Despite ongoing Black Sea uncertainty, the market has yet to see any meaningful increase in U.S. wheat export sales, limiting bullish momentum.

Outlook: Grain markets may stabilize, but without stronger export demand, upside in wheat and broader grain pricing appears limited near term.

Seafood

seafood commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Seafood pricing was relatively quiet overall, with frozen cod filet standing out as the primary mover in the latest July data. Cod prices fell 5.3% month over month, ending a four-month rally during which prices had surged nearly 52% and set new all-time highs each month. Even with that pullback, import volumes have remained below normal since September of last year, pointing to continued supply-side tightness. The recent decline may indicate some demand resistance at elevated price levels, but not enough to fully normalize the market.

Outlook: Cod pricing may ease modestly in the near term, but supply constraints are likely to keep seafood costs elevated into early 2027.

 

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive-no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

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September 22, 2026 CommodityOne Weekly Market ReportsBy Melissa Evans

Freshly Picked, September 22, 2026

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More
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Poultry

poultry commodity update exclusively for consolidated concepts clients powered by CommodityONE

Chicken supplies remain tighter than expected as producers continue to limit output. Young bird slaughter was 4% below the same week last year, and broiler egg sets and chick placements were only 0.4% and 0.5% above year-ago levels, signaling only modest supply growth ahead. That slower production is helping support prices, especially for leg quarters and thighs, even as demand stays strong: U.S. per-capita chicken consumption is estimated at 106.8 lbs, up 3.8% from 2025 and a record high.

Outlook: Chicken markets should stay supported near term as restrained production and strong consumer demand keep supplies from building too quickly.

Beef

Beef commodity updates exclusively for consolidated concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE.

Beef production remains under pressure, with last week’s output down 4.5% from a year ago due to a 5.4% decline in cattle slaughter. August feedlot placements were down 9% from 2025 and marked the smallest August placement total in 30 years, reinforcing the longer-term tight supply story. At the same time, near-term relief may emerge: Q4 beef supplies are projected to rise by 295 million pounds from Q3, the largest seasonal increase in more than a decade, which could pressure boxed beef values.

Outlook: Beef prices may face some short-term softness in Q4 as supplies seasonally increase, but the broader supply backdrop remains historically tight.

Pork

Pork commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Pork output was down 4.8% year over year last week, driven largely by a 3.9% decline in hog slaughter, yet the market still weakened as demand remained sluggish. The USDA pork cutout fell to its lowest level since February 2024, while the belly primal dropped 25% in one week and is now down 46% year over year. Expectations for a smaller hog and breeding herd, along with sow farrowings projected nearly 2% below last year, point to tighter supply ahead.

Outlook: Pork prices may stay under pressure in the short run, but tightening herd fundamentals could provide more support as 2027 approaches.

Produce

Produce commodity updates exclusively for Consolidated Concepts, powered by CommodityONE

Produce markets were generally steady, but a few categories are worth watching. 48-count Hass avocados continued to ease toward their current year-to-date low and are expected to find support near $20/carton. 24-count iceberg lettuce moved higher again and appears to have meaningful upside potential into late fall, while 25 lb. large Roma tomatoes are also firming and could reach around $30 in November, though likely well below the $40+ highs seen earlier this year.

Outlook:Produce should remain relatively orderly overall, with the best upside risk centered in lettuce and, to a lesser extent, Roma tomatoes through November.

Dairy

dairy commodity update from consolidated concepts week of march 18 2025

Dairy markets were active but mixed last week, with 49 CME spot loads traded on Friday alone. Cheese blocks, barrels, and butter moved lower for the week, while nonfat dry milk and dry whey held steady. Butter production remains strong thanks to ample cream supplies, and U.S. butter’s discount to global markets could help exports, but rising feed costs are squeezing dairy farmer margins and raising concern about possible herd contraction if profitability worsens.

Outlook: Dairy markets may remain rangebound near term, but tighter farmer margins bear watching because they could eventually reduce milk production and support prices.

Grains

grains commodity update from consolidated concepts

Grain markets were mostly quiet outside of soybean meal, with December corn settling into a $5.20 to $5.40 range after the September Crop Production Report. The updated outlook pushed the 2026/27 U.S. stocks-to-use ratio below 10%, which is historically tight, but weakening export and domestic demand could still trigger a pullback. Even so, the longer-term global balance sheet remains relatively snug.

Outlook: Corn looks vulnerable to a short-term correction, but the market should remain fundamentally supported and likely hold near $5 over the longer term.

Seafood

seafood commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Frozen tilapia filet was one of the strongest movers in July import data, rising 6.7% month over month after a similar gain in June. Prices had fallen to an all-time low in May before rebounding quickly, helped by import volumes running below normal seasonal levels. Even with the recent bounce, the market is typically quiet in the second half of the year, suggesting the rally may lose momentum soon.

Outlook: Tilapia prices are likely to flatten out into early 2027, with the next more meaningful upside move more likely in spring.

 

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive-no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

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Freshly Picked, September 14, 2026
September 14, 2026 CommodityOne Weekly Market ReportsBy Melissa Evans

Freshly Picked, September 14, 2026

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More
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Poultry

poultry commodity update exclusively for consolidated concepts clients powered by CommodityONE

Chicken markets were mixed last week, but overall pricing remains favorable for buyers. For the week ending September 5, young chicken slaughter rose 1.8% from the previous week and was well above last year because of the Labor Day calendar shift, while year-to-date production is running more than 2% above 2025. On the pricing side, breasts, wings, leg quarters, and WOGS moved lower, tenders were flat, and thighs increased; notably, breasts, tenders, and wings are each trading at least 26% below year-ago levels. Feed costs are climbing, however, and producer margins are under pressure, which could begin to slow supply growth.

Outlook: Poultry pricing should remain relatively buyer-friendly near term, but slower production growth and weaker producer margins could provide more support to chicken markets heading into winter.

Beef

Beef commodity updates exclusively for consolidated concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE.

Beef production softened last week, down 3.8% from the prior week and 10.8% from a year ago, largely due to the holiday. The USDA choice boxed beef cutout increased, while select moved lower, and trim markets were mostly down, with 50% trim at its lowest level in 20 months; 85% trim did rebound from recent lows. Longer term, herd expansion remains difficult because pasture conditions are extremely poor, with recent USDA ratings matching the worst levels for this time of year in more than 30 years. Continued cattle imports from Mexico could help offset some supply pressure next year.

Outlook: Beef supplies are likely to stay tight in the near term, though sustained cattle imports from Mexico could modestly improve availability in 2027.

Pork

Pork commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Pork production declined 0.7% from the previous week and was 10.1% below last year’s level because of the holiday, while 2026 year-to-date output is just 0.1% above last year. Even with lighter production, the USDA pork cutout fell more than 3% on the week, led by an 18% drop in the belly primal, and the overall cutout sits 19.9% below the same week last year. Bellies are down 33% year over year, and pork trim remains especially attractive, with a typical 70% pork blend priced near some of its lowest levels in more than two years.

Outlook: Pork should remain a value protein this fall, with trim and belly markets likely facing additional seasonal weakness.

Produce

Produce commodity updates exclusively for Consolidated Concepts, powered by CommodityONE

Produce was mostly quiet last week, with no major disruptions across the major tracked items. 48-count Hass avocados declined for a fifth straight week and are expected to remain under pressure through at least early October. 25 lb. large roma tomatoes and 24-count iceberg lettuce both extended recent gains, though momentum has slowed, while yellow and white onions may see moderate downside into November and red onions are expected to stay relatively stable through year-end.

Outlook: Produce markets should stay mostly steady, with avocados and onions offering some relief while tomatoes and lettuce continue to trend gradually higher.

Dairy

dairy commodity update from consolidated concepts week of march 18 2025

Dairy markets were mixed last week. On the CME, cheese blocks, barrels, and butter all moved lower, with butter nearing five-year lows, while whey and nonfat dry milk increased, with nonfat dry milk approaching three-month highs. Export demand has been a bright spot: in July, U.S. butter exports were up 2.4% year over year and set a record for the month, while cheese exports surged 25% from last year to an all-time high. Even so, strong domestic production continues to keep cheese and butter prices relatively subdued.

Outlook: Dairy pricing should remain mixed, but ample domestic production is likely to keep a lid on cheese and butter markets despite strong export demand.

Grains

grains commodity update from consolidated concepts

Grain markets posted another weak week, with Friday’s volatility shaping the final tone. Corn pulled back after the USDA’s latest forecast came in close to expectations, including a 236 million bushel reduction on the supply side and a lower feed/residual demand estimate. Even with that adjustment, the U.S. stocks-to-use ratio fell below 10% for the first time in four years, underscoring a still-tight balance sheet. While corn may remain technically vulnerable in the short term, underlying domestic and global supply conditions remain historically tight.

Outlook: Grain markets may stay choppy near term, but tight stocks should continue to provide longer-term price support, especially in corn.

Seafood

seafood commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Seafood pricing was led higher by yellowfin tuna in the latest July data. Fresh yellowfin tuna rose 11.3% month over month and is now running 16.2% above year-ago levels, recovering much faster than expected after spring weakness. After declining between March and May and only beginning to recover in June, yellowfin has regained a significant amount of lost ground in just two months and could challenge a new year-to-date high in the next round of data.

Outlook: Yellowfin tuna appears poised to stabilize in the near term, with the next meaningful upside risk likely coming during the typical seasonal run-up into the new year.

 

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Freshly Picked, September 8, 2026
September 8, 2026 CommodityOne Weekly Market ReportsBy Melissa Evans

Freshly Picked, September 8, 2026

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

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Poultry

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Chicken supply remains ample, even though producers appear to be trying to slow output growth to support pricing. Young chicken slaughter last week was up 0.3% from the prior week and 2.3% ahead of 2025 year to date, but most key chicken markets still moved lower, including wings down 4% and tenders falling to a 43-month low. On the supply side, the August 1 broiler layer inventory was 1.5% above last year, and pounds produced per layer are running a record 4.4% higher year over year, showing just how productive the flock has been.

Outlook: Chicken prices may stay pressured near term unless producers meaningfully reduce flock size, because productivity remains strong even as placements slow.

Beef

Beef commodity updates exclusively for consolidated concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE.

Beef production improved week to week but remains well below last year overall, keeping the category fundamentally tight. Output was up 3.7% from the previous week, but still 3.1% below the same week last year, and 2026 year-to-date production is down 5.4% on a 7.9% decline in cattle slaughter. Boxed beef cutouts were lower on the week, with declines led by briskets, flanks, and plates, while one important longer-term supply development is the reopening of cattle imports from Mexico on August 24, with the Douglas, Arizona and St. Teresa, New Mexico ports historically accounting for 63% of imports from Mexico over the last three years.

Outlook: Beef should remain a relatively tight, high-cost protein in the near term, though resumed Mexican cattle imports could gradually ease supply pressure later on.

Pork

Pork commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Pork supply is growing only modestly, but the market remains soft as seasonal weakness sets in. Last week’s production was up 0.2% week over week and 0.5% above last year, while year-to-date output is only 0.4% higher than 2025 despite a 0.7% decline in hog slaughter. Demand-side weakness showed up in pricing, with the USDA pork cutout falling 1.6% to its lowest level since February, and pork bellies dropping nearly 6% on the week. Historically, pork prices tend to weaken in September, with the pork cutout averaging lower than August in 9 of the last 11 years.

Outlook: Pork pricing likely stays soft through September, especially for bellies and trim, unless demand improves faster than seasonal patterns suggest.

Produce

Produce commodity updates exclusively for Consolidated Concepts, powered by CommodityONE

Produce trends were similar to the prior week, with avocados easing while tomatoes continued to rise. 48-count Hass avocados fell to a four-month low, giving back the remaining gains from late May and returning close to year-ago levels. Meanwhile, 25-lb large Roma tomatoes increased for a third straight week and reached a 14-week high, supported in part by recent heavy rains across key eastern U.S. growing regions.

Outlook: Avocados may stabilize at these lower levels, while tomatoes still have room to move higher heading deeper into the fall market.

Dairy

dairy commodity update from consolidated concepts week of march 18 2025

Dairy markets were mixed, with fats and cheese softer while milk powders strengthened. Butter fell to its lowest price in more than seven months, and cheese blocks slipped to a nine-week low, while nonfat dry milk climbed to its highest level in over two months. On the production side, the USDA’s July report showed continued expansion: butter production rose 5.5% year over year to a record July level, and cheese production increased 2.1% from last year, also setting a July record.

Outlook: Ample milk and product output should keep butter and cheese markets from rallying sharply, though seasonal pricing patterns suggest cheese could still stay relatively supported into fall.

Grains

grains commodity update from consolidated concepts

The recent grain rally paused, led by weaker wheat and spillover pressure into corn and soybeans. The market is now focused on the USDA’s September Crop Production and WASDE reports, especially after field estimates suggested corn yields may come in below the USDA’s August projections across much of the Corn Belt. With both domestic and global corn balance sheets already tight, any meaningful cut to production could quickly shift market tone back to higher prices.

Outlook: Grain markets may remain volatile, but corn has upside risk if official yield estimates come down and demand does not soften enough to offset it.

Seafood

seafood commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Pollock prices continued to follow cod higher, extending an uncomfortable uptrend for buyers. Through the June data, frozen Alaskan pollock filet prices increased 3.8% month over month, following cod’s 5% monthly jump. Unlike cod, pollock import volumes did not start trending below normal until June, when they essentially stalled instead of rising seasonally, suggesting supply may stay less than ideal for some time.

Outlook: Pollock prices may not rise dramatically from here, but meaningful relief is unlikely before late fall and fuller supply normalization may not arrive until 2027.

 

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

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Freshly Picked, September 1, 2026
September 1, 2026 CommodityOne Weekly Market ReportsBy Melissa Evans

Freshly Picked, September 1, 2026

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More
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Poultry

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Chicken production slipped last week, down roughly 0.5% week over week, and for the week ending August 22, output was 0.6% lower than the prior week and nearly 2% below last year. Chicken markets were soft across the board, led by a nearly 5% drop in wing prices, while table eggs were flat and turkey breast fell to 17-month lows. On the supply side, revised USDA data showed the broiler layer inventory was stronger than previously expected, with the preliminary August figure up 1.5% versus a year ago.

Outlook: Poultry prices may remain relatively contained in the near term as improving layer inventories suggest production growth could rebound.

Beef

Beef commodity updates exclusively for consolidated concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE.

Beef production rose 3.7% from the prior week, but was still 3.1% below the same week last year, and year-to-date output is down 7.9% versus 2025. Boxed beef values were softer, with all primals lower except select ribs, while nearby cattle futures posted their lowest Friday close in 14 months. Supply remains historically tight: the August 1 cattle-on-feed inventory was 1.8% above last year, but July feedlot placements were down 11% year over year, marking the smallest July placement figure in at least three decades.

Outlook: Beef supplies are expected to stay tight this fall, which should keep overall pricing supported even if some categories like trim soften.

Pork

Pork commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Pork output edged up 0.2% week over week and was 0.5% above last year, leaving year-to-date production up 0.4%. The USDA pork cutout fell to its fourth-lowest weekly level in the last seven months, with hams leading declines, followed by picnics, loins, and bellies. Rib demand has been a relative bright spot, with July 31 inventories down 2.4% from last year and marking the second-smallest July level in 12 years.

Outlook: As production improves seasonally and consumption remains uneven, broader pork prices are likely to trend lower this fall, with ribs potentially holding up better than other cuts.

Produce

Produce commodity updates exclusively for Consolidated Concepts, powered by CommodityONE

Produce saw a little more movement last week, but nothing unusual for late summer. 48-count Hass avocados fell 15% week over week as support from Mexico-related supply disruptions faded, while potatoes appear to have ended their pre-harvest rally at levels similar to last year. 24-count iceberg lettuce and 25 lb. large roma tomatoes both moved higher, though the expectation is that any meaningful rally likely waits until at least mid-September.

Outlook: Produce pricing should remain mostly steady in the near term, with only spot volatility in a few items as the market transitions toward fall.

Dairy

dairy commodity update from consolidated concepts week of march 18 2025

CME spot dairy trade was light, with just 16 loads changing hands for the week. Most dairy markets moved higher except cheese blocks, while nonfat dry milk reached 11-week highs on stronger domestic and export demand. USDA’s July milk production report showed output up 2.2% year over year, driven by a 2.1% larger milk cow herd and a modest 0.1% increase in milk per cow.

Outlook: Better milk supplies should keep cheese and butter relatively manageable near term, although rising feed costs could create margin pressure for producers later on.

Grains

grains commodity update from consolidated concepts

Grains continued their strong run, with wheat and corn gaining more than 5%, and some moves pushing toward double-digit weekly territory. Wheat has been the standout as Black Sea trade disruptions continue, and U.S. wheat export sales have benefited, totaling nearly 800,000 metric tons for the current marketing year over the past two weeks. Soybean oil also recovered, moving back above its 100-day moving average.

Outlook: Grain markets are likely to stay firm as long as Black Sea shipping issues remain unresolved, with wheat especially vulnerable to further upside volatility.

Seafood

seafood commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Fresh yellowfin tuna was one of the biggest movers in the latest data, rising 5.3% month over month in June after two weaker months. Import volumes ran well above normal in April and May, then corrected in June, and are expected to trend lower through November. That pattern suggests tuna prices have likely continued to inch higher through late summer, though at a more measured pace.

Outlook: Yellowfin tuna prices may continue to firm modestly into September, but the back half of the year should be much calmer than the first.

 

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive-no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

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Frame 4
August 24, 2026 CommodityOne Weekly Market ReportsBy Melissa Evans

Freshly Picked, August 24, 2026

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More
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Poultry

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Chicken supply remains above last year, but the pace of growth is clearly slowing. Young chicken slaughter rose 0.7% week over week and was 0.3% above the same week last year, while output for the week ending August 15 was 1.1% higher year over year. Year-to-date production is still running 2.4% above 2025 levels, though recent chick placement and broiler egg set data suggest growth could moderate to roughly 1% above year-ago levels through the end of summer. On the pricing side, markets were mixed last week, with tenders, wings, whole birds, and leg quarters all softer, while boneless skinless breasts and thighs moved higher, continuing the white/dark meat divergence that has been a consistent theme this season.

Outlook: Near-term chicken prices may stay pressured by ample Q3 supply, but slowing production growth leaves meaningful upside risk once seasonal demand improves heading into fall.

Beef

Beef commodity updates exclusively for consolidated concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE.

Beef production improved modestly from the prior week but remains well below last year. Output rose 1.1% week over week yet was still 4.5% below the same week in 2025, driven largely by a nearly 6% decline in cattle slaughter. The structural picture is tightening further: the August 1 cattle-on-feed inventory was 1.8% above last year, but that reflects cattle spending more time in feedlots rather than any real supply expansion, particularly given that July placements were down 11% year over year. At the consumer level, resistance to elevated beef pricing continues to build. July retail beef prices were 9.4% above last year overall, with sirloin up 7.7% and ground beef up 10.1% from last year and 77% above January 2020 levels.

Outlook: Tight cattle supplies and elevated retail prices should keep beef markets fundamentally supported, even if policy headlines create short-term volatility.

Pork

Pork commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Pork production remains relatively flat and pricing softened broadly last week. Output increased 1.1% from the prior week but was 0.6% below the same week a year ago, leaving year-to-date production up just 0.4% as heavier hog weights offset a 0.7% decline in hog slaughter. The USDA pork cutout fell nearly 3% on the week, with bellies dropping 4.6% and now sitting 15.4% below last year. Hams and picnics were even weaker, trading more than 20% under year-ago levels, with only ribs posting gains. Adding to the demand-side concern, USDA lowered its 2026 domestic per capita pork consumption estimate to 49.5 pounds, which would rank among the lowest readings in more than a decade. For operators, pork still offers a meaningful pricing advantage versus beef, but translating that value gap into consumer demand has been a persistent challenge this year.

Outlook: With limited production growth and seasonally weak demand, pork prices are likely to remain under pressure into the fall.

Produce

Produce commodity updates exclusively for Consolidated Concepts, powered by CommodityONE

Produce markets were relatively stable overall, though iceberg lettuce posted a notable move. 24-count iceberg lettuce rose 11% week over week, ending a seven-week losing streak after prices had fallen nearly 82% over that stretch. Even with the rebound, current supply conditions do not point to any major shortage, and lettuce prices have historically struggled to hold below the $10 per carton floor for extended periods. The broader produce complex remains calm, with no significant red flags across the major foodservice categories.

Outlook: Produce looks generally steady near term, but lettuce will be worth watching as the market approaches its typical late-September seasonal rally.

Dairy

dairy commodity update from consolidated concepts week of march 18 2025

Dairy markets were mixed last week, with CME cheese blocks and butter finishing lower while other signals offered support. U.S. milk production in July came in 2.2% above last year, fueled almost entirely by a 2.1% expansion in the milk cow herd rather than any meaningful improvement in per-cow yields. Cooler weather aided output, and back-to-school fluid demand diverted more milk away from manufacturing. Nonfat dry milk was the standout performer, rallying to nine-week highs as domestic and export demand strengthened. That move was reinforced by New Zealand’s latest Global Dairy Trade auction, where skim milk powder jumped 7.6% from the prior event, and a weaker U.S. dollar has added further support by improving the competitiveness of American exports.

Outlook: Dairy markets should stay mixed near term, but strengthening global skim milk powder prices could continue lifting U.S. nonfat dry milk values.

Grains

grains commodity update from consolidated concepts

Grain markets turned higher last week, led by renewed concern over row crop yields following the Pro Farmer annual crop tour. Preliminary results came in below expectations across most of the states surveyed, with especially notable corn yield misses in Iowa and Illinois and weaker-than-expected soybean findings in Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio. For operators with grain-sensitive categories, the timing matters: corn is already projected to enter the new marketing year with historically thin balance sheets, so any confirmation of lower yields could materially tighten supply expectations and push prices higher in the weeks ahead.

Outlook: If private crop estimates continue to challenge USDA assumptions, corn and soybean markets could see additional upside in the weeks ahead.

Seafood

seafood commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

The seafood category was highlighted this week by unusual volatility in tilapia. Frozen tilapia fillet prices rose 6.5% month over month in June after touching an all-time low in May, marking the eighth consecutive month with a price move greater than 6% in either direction. Lower import volumes helped drive the June rebound, but that supply dynamic may not persist. As tilapia enters its traditionally quieter demand period, the same seasonal softness that typically weighs on the category could limit how far or how long this recovery holds.

Outlook: Tilapia prices may stabilize in the short term, but a full return to more normal seasonal pricing likely will not happen until 2027.

 

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive-no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

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Freshly Picked, August 18, 2026
August 18, 2026 CommodityOne Weekly Market ReportsBy Melissa Evans

Freshly Picked, August 18, 2026

Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE

This snapshot report is released every week. To learn more about the FULL report, click here. 

Designed to support purchasing and forecasting teams in managing price risks, CommodityONE provides powerful tools like commodity forecasting and item-specific food cost modeling to help you plan smarter and maximize profitability. Learn how you can receive even more in-depth insights delivered daily from CommodityONE to elevate your strategy.

Learn More
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Poultry

poultry commodity update exclusively for consolidated concepts clients powered by CommodityONE

Chicken supply remains relatively stable, but pricing performance across cuts continues to tell two very different stories. Chicken slaughter last week was roughly 2% above year-ago levels, while production for the week ending August 8 rose 1% versus the prior week but was 1.2% below last year, driven entirely by a 1.7% drop in bird weights. Even with that decline, year-to-date chicken output is still running 2.4% ahead of last year, supported by improved bird availability. On the pricing side, markets were generally soft, with breast meat, tenders, and wings all lower, while whole birds and leg quarters held up better. The more important strategic trend for operators is still dark meat strength: in July, boneless skinless thighs reached a record premium over boneless skinless breasts for that month, reflecting continued momentum in both export demand and domestic dark meat consumption.

Outlook: Expect dark meat to remain comparatively well supported in the near term, while softer white meat pricing may create selective value opportunities for operators with flexible menu applications.

Beef

Beef commodity updates exclusively for consolidated concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE.

Beef fundamentals remain tight, but demand resistance is becoming harder to ignore. Beef production rose 1.3% last week and came in just 1.4% below the same week last year, yet year-to-date output is still down 5.5%, largely because cattle slaughter is running 8% lower. Wholesale values moved higher last week, with the USDA Choice cutout up 1.8% and the Select cutout up 0.6%, led by gains in briskets, loins, and Choice ribs. Even so, overall boxed beef values remain about 5% below 2025 levels. On the demand side, the USDA lowered its 2026 per capita beef consumption estimate to 58.9 pounds per person, or 0.5% below last year, signaling continued consumer pushback to elevated retail pricing. Meanwhile, June trade data showed beef exports down 10% year over year and imports up 24%, with U.S. beef imports reaching a monthly record and lean imported trim continuing to price well below domestic equivalents.

Outlook: Beef markets should stay supported by limited domestic supply, but elevated imports and growing consumer resistance may cap upside and keep operators focused on mix, yield, and portion control.

Pork

Pork commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Pork continues to offer a pricing advantage versus beef, but that value story still has not translated into strong demand. Production rose 2.2% from the prior week but was 1.5% below the same week last year, leaving year-to-date output up only 0.4%, helped by 1.1% heavier carcass weights. This summer, pork production is expected to track roughly 2% below 2025, but despite that, the market has struggled to gain traction. The USDA pork cutout moved lower last week, driven by weakness in ribs and hams, while loins and bellies posted gains, with bellies nearing their highest levels in a year. The larger concern is demand: USDA lowered its 2026 domestic per capita pork consumption estimate, and 2026 usage is projected to come in near its lowest level in a decade. Export demand has also been uneven, with June pork exports down 4% year over year, though ham shipments to Mexico are up 1% year to date and sitting at a record high, supported by ham prices that are running about 6% below last year.

Outlook: Pork should continue to present relative value, but weak domestic demand and seasonally softer fall pricing, especially in hams and ribs, suggest limited near-term momentum.

Produce

Produce commodity updates exclusively for Consolidated Concepts, powered by CommodityONE

Produce pricing across the major center-of-the-plate support items remained mostly uneventful last week, which is welcome news for operators managing scale. Lettuce and tomatoes were flat week over week, and potatoes continued their expected climb, with prices now positioned to reach 2025 highs as soon as this week as the pre-harvest rally plays out. The biggest watch item is avocados. The USDA has suspended avocado inspections in Michoacán, Mexico, the largest supplier of avocados to the U.S. So far, stateside pricing has held steady, with 48-count Hass avocados basically flat week over week, but if the underlying security issue is not resolved quickly, the market could still see the August upswing many were expecting.

Outlook: Most produce categories look stable near term, but avocado pricing remains the biggest late-summer risk and should stay on procurement watchlists across multi-unit systems.

Dairy

dairy commodity update from consolidated concepts week of march 18 2025

Dairy markets remain mixed, with cheese continuing to stand out as the strongest area of demand. Weekly CME averages moved higher for cheese blocks, cheese barrels, and nonfat dry milk, while butter and dry whey softened. Milk production is seasonally light, but available cream and at least adequate butter inventories are continuing to weigh on butter pricing. Cheese, meanwhile, is benefiting from both domestic and export interest. U.S. cheese exports in June climbed 24% year over year to a fresh record, aided in part by highly competitive pricing: the June CME cheese block average was the second lowest for that month in more than a decade. That made U.S. cheese especially attractive on the global market. Even so, the market still faces a ceiling; unless international cheese prices recover meaningfully, strong exports alone may not be enough to drive a sustained domestic rally.

Outlook: Cheese should remain fundamentally well supported, but broad dairy price inflation looks limited unless global cheese markets strengthen more materially.

Grains

grains commodity update from consolidated concepts

Grain markets were relatively quiet overall, aside from corn’s sharp rally following the August WASDE and Crop Production reports, but wheat remains the more important long-term watch item. Wheat briefly softened last week on reports that Ukraine had proposed a mutual halt on attacks against commercial shipping in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov, only for Russia to reject the offer shortly thereafter. That puts the market back into a familiar risk pattern at a time when regional wheat exports would normally be accelerating. The concern is no longer just near-term logistics: there are now reports that some farmers may lack the income needed to prepare for the 2026/27 planting season, raising the possibility that current disruptions evolve into a longer-duration supply issue.

Outlook: Wheat retains meaningful upside risk, and operators with grain-sensitive categories should stay alert to further supply-chain volatility tied to Black Sea shipping disruptions.

Seafood

seafood commodity update exclusively for Consolidated Concepts clients, powered by CommodityONE

Seafood pricing was generally calmer in the latest import data, but cod remains a significant exception and a mounting concern for operators with seafood-heavy menus. Across the six key seafood items tracked, none moved more than 7% month over month in June, but frozen cod fillet rose another 5%, extending a four-month rally. Over that stretch, average cod pricing has surged nearly 52%, with new all-time highs in every month, and the data series goes back to 2013. Import volumes improved for a second straight month, which is encouraging, but they still remain below normal seasonal levels. If that recovery continues, it should help cap the rally in the near term and potentially create some downside later in the year.

Outlook: Cod prices still look elevated in the short run, but improving import volumes suggest the market may be nearing its peak within the next one to two months.

 

Need Help Managing Market Volatility?

Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive-no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.

Want the full report in your inbox everyday?

Submit the short form to learn how to get the FULL CommodityONE report delivered DAILY to your inbox: 

CommodityONE offers a diversity in format and provides definitive content that presents the trends and forecasts that align with what’s happening in the industry. Sign up for CommodityONE today to unlock the most in-depth foodservice commodities report on the market.

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