Category: CommodityOne Weekly Market Reports

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Freshly Picked, September 19, 2022

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Produce

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Weather issues in may growing regions will cause markets to increase over the next few weeks. Avocado supplies have continued to increase on the larger sizes.

Grains

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The market moved lower for the majority of previous week due to technical trading, but by Friday the market had recovered. Scores for soybeans moved very little. Farmers are selling canola as it approaches a two-year low. Large oil inventories and weak Chinese demand are pushing palm prices lower.

Dairy

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Despite flat demand and weaker exports, cheese prices rose last week on both the block and barrel markets. Butter reached a record-high price while anticipating a pullback. With strong retail and foodservice demand, as well as the effects of resurgent avian influenza, egg markets are higher.

Beef

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In particular for CAB or higher product, ribs continue to benefit from close in sales and the front-end demand; Sel and No Roll present prospects. While strips continue to get softer, CAB or higher product is still scarce. Chucks are still holding the line, but clods and inner round cuts are getting stronger. The grinding is constant. 

Pork

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More demand is causing bellies to trend up. Loins moved up slightly due to short supplier. Ribs continue to remain flat. Support from retail and a short harvest week are moving butts up for next week.

Poultry

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Wing demand for the season is here. Prices are dropping and availability is increasing for tenders. The random breast market is dropping. Thigh meat prices were down again this week. Whole birds are higher while boneless leg meat is more available than its dark meat counterpart.  

Seafood

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The Great Lakes’ warm water makes fishing difficult and delays harvest until late September. As fish grow to the right size for harvest, catfish production increases. Farmers don’t let the fish stay in the water longer than necessary, so the majority of the tilapia collected is small. There are not enough 7-9 ounce fillets available. 

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Freshly Picked, September 12, 2022

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Produce

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Weather issues in may growing regions will cause markets to increase over the next few weeks. Avocado supplies have continued to increase on the larger sizes.

Grains

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There is weak demand and large stocks of palm oil causing it to move lower. Good Canadian crops for canola. Soybean oil market traded down last week.   

Dairy

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Avian Flu has resurged causing shell eggs to move higher. The butter market has moved higher as cream has softened.

Beef

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Summer holidays are behind us causing buyers to look for product on a shortened production week. Demand and sales for ribs continue.  

Pork

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Butts have found their floor and levels off. Supplies for ribs are in good demand. Bellies have seen a slight dip and will continue the trend for the next few weeks.

Poultry

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Avian Influenza outbreaks have started to return. Whole birds market is trending up. Boneless thighs were down this week. Seasonal wing demand is back. Increasing availability on tenders and portion-controlled breasts.

Seafood

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There is good market value on frozen tuna. Tilapia harvests have been small since farmers are not letting fish stay in the water longer than is necessary. There is a shortage on 7oz-9oz filets. 

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Freshly Picked, September 5, 2022

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Produce

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Weather issues across many regions are causing markets to trend upwards and will likely remain for several weeks. Many of the mixed vegetables out of the Salinas Valley see volatility due to increased INSV pressure combined with warmer temperatures.

Grains

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Last week, the soybean oil market increased as a result of recent private crop appraisals that expressed concerns about crop production. Canola and palm oil prices increased as a result, albeit palm oil only moved very slightly because demand has decreased and supply is plenty.

Dairy

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Despite good production, cheese sales declined once more. The demand is rising. Supply of butter is becoming increasingly scarce, driving this market upward. The market is rising as a result of the restricted cream market. Shell egg prices increased as a result of strong foodservice demand and steady retail demand.

Beef

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Strips continue to show firm demand. Markets continue to hold flat with buyers and packers both trying to gain leverage. Ribs are steady.

Pork

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Expect more concessions this coming week as butts continue to deteriorate. For the time being, ribs are trading sideways and are marginally lower. Because of retail demand, loin prices remain comparatively flat. Bellies fell below markets from the previous year. Ham sales are also declining as export demand declines.

Poultry

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Football season is almost approaching, and supply has already started to become scarce. The number of available tenders is rising. Due to Labor Day demand, the market for random breasts has leveled off. Breasts with portion control are available. Prices for boneless thigh meat decreased once more this week. It’s easier to find leg meat without bones.

Seafood

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The availability of domestic and imported catfish is continuing to increase. The supply of frozen tuna has increased and has a high market value. Due to manpower shortages, a lack of containers, and FDA holds, some tilapia shipments are currently experiencing delays.

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Freshly Picked, August 29, 2022

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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Weather issues across many regions are causing markets to trend upwards and will likely remain for several weeks. Many of the mixed vegetables out of the Salinas Valley see volatility due to increased INSV pressure combined with warmer temperatures.

Grains

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Canola has improved to a point where we will see much more seed availability. Improved weather conditions caused the soybean oil market to trade down last week.

Dairy

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Retails are increasing egg buying pushing eggs higher. Increased exports have pushed butter prices higher. Markets were higher this week for block and barrel cheese markets. 

Beef

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Strips continue to show firm demand. Markets continue to hold flat with buyers and packers both trying to gain leverage. Ribs are steady.

Pork

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Good supply and steady demand brought trimmings down this week. Demand for bacon is decreasing causing bellies to decline. There has been a big demand on retail loins causing supplies to tighten and driving the market up. The market is holding flat on ribs as the market is stable.

Poultry

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Pricing for thigh meat was down again this week. Labor Day demand has evened out the random breast market. Supply on wings has begun to constrict has football season nears.

Seafood

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Importers brought in excess inventories of Whites and Tigers saturating the market. Prices are declining on specific sizes of shrimp. There is a good market value on frozen tuna as supply has improved. Shipping delays are facing the tilapia market.  

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Freshly Picked, August 22, 2022

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Produce

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Situation on potato supply continues to be dire. Demand is exceeding supplies in all regions.

Grains

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Canadian weather is good for canola crop. Canola and palm moved higher, keeping pace with soybean oil. Dry weather is the cause for higher markets. Most grain based commodities rose last week.

Dairy

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Eggs continue to move lower with a well supplied demand. Cream supplies are tight forcing butter markets higher. Demand for cheese is softening though the market moved higher.  

Beef

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Strips continue to show firm demand. Markets continue to hold flat with buyers and packers both trying to gain leverage. Ribs are steady.

Pork

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Trimmings are trending up. The belly market is searching for a correction. Demand for loins in retail are rising and driving the market up daily. Ribs are stable with a relatively flat market. The butt market continues to decline

Poultry

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Breast market is down with good supply. Prices remain high for tenders. Wing season is approaching, and supply has begun to constrict. Jumbo sizes are tight. Medium and small wings have availability.

Seafood

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There is an excess shrimp inventory for both Wats an Tigers. Demand has softened due to slow retail sales. Prices are declining. Labor shortages are forcing delays in Tilapia shipments. Inflationary pressures and a heavy supply of low-cost imports is causing the domestic shrimp market to face downward pressure.

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Freshly Picked, August 15, 2022

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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Potato supply continues to be dire. All regions are seeing demand outpacing supply.

Grains

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Canola Oil looks good with great weather in Canada. The EPA has recently announced biofuel rebates and renewable manufacturers are stepping up to buy. Soybean has continued higher, with continue hot weather. The crop has been downgraded for the next 6 weeks.

Dairy

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Canola Oil looks good with great weather in Canada. The EPA has recently announced biofuel rebates and renewable manufacturers are stepping up to buy. Soybean has continued higher, with continue hot weather. The crop has been downgraded for the next 6 weeks.

Beef

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Ribs continue to be steady. Strips continue to show strong demand. End cuts continue to be steady.

Pork

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Bellies are high but expected to ease. Tight supplies and labor are causing an upwind spin on loins. Ribs are trending upwards as Labor Day approaches. Spareribs dropped sharply as demand has decreased. The high but prices from the summer are starting to come down.

Poultry

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Chicken wings are approaching a 10-year low for pricing. Large wings are being constricted as we head into football season. The random breast market has dropped this week. Prices remain high for tenders.

Seafood

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IQF tilapia are seeing shortages due to shipping delays, labor issues and lack of containers.

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Freshly Picked, August 8, 2022

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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The main country of origin for avocados continues to be Mexico. California is seeing decreased volume. Lemons are seeing tighter supply on good quality. Fingerling potatoes are seeing a limited supply for the next 4-5 weeks. Limited supplies on cilantro and parsley are being reported due to high heat in growing regions.

Grains

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Both canola and soybean are moving higher. Palm prices are moving higher as Chinese demand increases. The very hot and dry weather is causing soybean oil futures to move higher. Adding demand to the market are biodiesel and rebates which the EPA has recently announced.

Dairy

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Cream prices have moved up along with the butter market. There is good demand and flat supply causing egg market to move down. Tight stocks are causing the butter market to move higher. Cheese markets have moved lower with an increase of supply.

Beef

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Consumers are searching for lower price points by searching out end cuts. Costs are being pushed down for tenders which are in good supply. Strips are holding a firm demand and price. Overall markets are steady going into the month of August.  

Pork

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Increased demand for bellies are moving them back up. Supply and demand for ribs are leveled off. They are down slightly. Retail demand has caused loins to rise. Unusual highs has caused the butt market to decline.

Poultry

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Prices and availability are tight and high for tenders. The random breast market is expected to drop this week. Supplies are ample for wings hitting a 10 year low on pricing. Wings of all sizes are readily available. Overall excess supply has hit the market.

Seafood

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Domestic gulf shrimp is in season. Compared to last year, supply has drastically improved. There is great value in promoting for summer specials.

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Freshly Picked, August 1, 2022

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Produce

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Mexico continues to try to control the volume of avocado as they continue to have competition with Peru and Columbia. The lemon market is stronger on fancy but steady on choice grade.

Grains

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Canadas weather has been ideal for Canola, moving seed and oil prices lower.

Dairy

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Food service demand for eggs continues higher while retail demand remains flat. Milk production has been low. Both cheese markets have been lower.

Beef

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There are certain grades that continue to be very difficult to find including PRIME and CAB PRIME. Firm demand and pricing are coming from strips. There is ample supply in tenders causing the price to push down. End cuts like chuck, flats and eyes continue to attract interest from retail as they look for lower price cuts. 

Pork

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Fall ham bookings have increased and are seeing demand. Demand for bellies and bacon remains very strong. Supply has increased for ribs, continuing their downwards trend. Demand has tapered off for butts.

Poultry

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The market for random breasts has dropped this week. There is tight availability and high prices on tenders. Wings are approaching a 10 year low with an ample supply. Wings of all sizes are readily available. Overall poultry market is good and excess supply has hit the market.

Seafood

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Landing are heavy for domestic shrimps. Domestic brown shrimp is in season with forecasts calling for a good harvest. Customers have looked for an alternative white fish from cod causing sales to slow. There are opportunities for growth in the frozen tuna market.

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Freshly Picked, July 25, 2022

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Produce

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Overall markets have remained relatively steady with the increased demand. Markets are expected to see an increase in the coming weeks due to increased demand as families finish last-minute vacations. The avocado market continues to show signs of adjustments due to higher availability of fruit in the market. Chile and bell pepper markets remain active. Supplies are light, especially green bell peppers.

Grains

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Corn, soybeans and wheat moved lower last week. Growing weather for canola is ideal, softening the market.

Dairy

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Cheese markets have been lower with decreased demand and strong production. Weak foodservice demand has brought butter down. Both food service and retail demand has driven eggs up.

Beef

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Prime continues to be hard to find. Packers seem to be hesitant of long-term commitments. Ribs and tenders are steady. Strips continue to have a strong demand.

Pork

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Strong inventories have moved ribs down. Retail is driving loins up. Supply on butts is tight and may push the market up due to strong retail sales.

Poultry

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The random breast market has dropped with excess demand. Tender available is very tight with high prices. Wings are approaching a 10 year low and readily available. Overall, excess supply has hit the market.

Seafood

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Domestic brown shrimp season has kicked off. Catches are heavy all around for shrimp.

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Freshly Picked, July 18, 2022

Alerts & What’s Trending

Produce

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Overall demand is expected to increase over the next few weeks. There has been a lot of heat in the southeast that could bring crops early or damage them. . There is improving volume on mid-sized to small limes. Larger sizes will continue to be short. Favorable weather conditions throughout the growing regions have fueled increased supplies for many commodities helping markets remain steady as we see increased summer demand. Harvest crews continue to wok product in the fields to mitigate quality issues.

Grains

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Corn, soybeans and wheat are moving lower.  Palm oil moved lower as Indonesian exports continue to increase. Soybean stocks were reported as being higher since the weather has been favorable for good soybeans.

Dairy

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Egg demand is strong from food service and retail. A lack of demand for butter has driven markets down. Exports ae strong for cheese.

Beef

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Chucks are tight in supply. Retail and grinders are still looking for value cuts. Strips and tenders are in very tight supply. Packers and sellers are still trying to set expectations for future markets.

Pork

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Exports on hams are up. There are strong inventory levels for ribs has demand has let up. The market could be pushed up due to the tight supply of boneless butts.

Poultry

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Labor shortages have created a tight supply for portion-controlled breasts. Excess supply of random breasts has caused the market to drop. Tenders are running very tight with high prices. Prices are down for wings of all sizes this week.

Seafood

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Importers have brought in excess White and Tiger shrimp. The Spring Lobster Pack season has started for Maine and will last through November. The 2022 wild Sockeye salmon harvest is off to a strong start. Domestic brown shrimp season will kick off this week.