Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE
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Produce
Leafy greens, broccoli, cauliflower, and Brussels sprouts are seeing higher prices due to heat and weather impacts. Bell peppers, squash, and asparagus are also tightening—particularly color varieties. Tomatoes, celery, and cucumbers are more stable. Avocados and lemons remain tight, while oranges and limes are stable but under strong demand. Grapes are transitioning to California with green varieties priced highest. Multi-units should focus on spec compliance and category substitution to protect margins.
Grains
Soybean oil saw a sharp dip last week, but market volatility continues due to global tensions and policy shifts. Canola and palm oils also eased. If your units rely on large-volume fryers, consider forward buying or alternate oil blends to hedge against price spikes.
Dairy
Eggs, cheese blocks, and butter are trending lower, offering temporary relief. Cream remains abundant. For concepts using dairy across LTOs or dessert programs, it’s a good time to evaluate pricing resets or extended contracts.
Beef
A potential strike at a major beef plant was avoided, but tight supply continues to drive pricing steady to higher. Strips and top butts are moving faster than ribs, and end cuts are firming due to lean trim demand. If beef is a menu driver across locations, consider tightening specs or optimizing portioning.
Pork
Post-holiday, pork markets softened—especially butts, ribs, and bellies, though the latter remains volatile. Loins are stable, and trim remains strong. Multi-unit operators may want to lock in favorable pricing while the market is down.
Poultry
Tenders remain constrained, with no relief expected this summer. Wing demand is up, tightening supply. Breasts, thighs, and leg meat have stabilized, offering reliable options for center-of-plate value. This is a good time to audit SKUs and assess alternates across locations.
Seafood
Seasonal seafood is front and center. Concepts looking to refresh summer menus can turn to wild salmon, tuna, snapper, swordfish, and lake fish for profitable and high-demand features. Consider cross-utilizing proteins across locations for consistency and waste reduction.
Need Help Managing Market Volatility?
Consolidated Concepts offers custom contract support, commodity tracking, and supply chain solutions to help operators thrive—no matter the market conditions. Reach out to see how we can help your business stay ahead of pricing swings and supply uncertainty.
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