Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE
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Produce
Produce remained calm. Roma tomato pricing held steady, iceberg inched up, and avocados continued easing. Yellow onions may firm in the short term.
Outlook: Stability is expected across core produce categories. Operators can forecast with confidence through early summer.
Grains
Grains saw upward momentum, especially wheat. Increased global activity and financial uncertainty contributed to the rally.
Outlook: Procurement teams should remain alert—weather, currency, and economic signals are all influencing pricing trends.
Dairy
Cheese prices saw modest gains, while butter remained steady. Strong milk supply continues to meet retail and export demand.
Outlook: Dairy markets are well-balanced. Expect moderate pricing trends with no immediate risk indicators.
Beef
Beef markets moved sharply higher. Premium cuts like tenderloins and striploins posted notable increases, while grinds and trim also saw upward movement. Ground beef reached $3.59/lb, and 50% trim rose to $1.25/lb.
Outlook: With harvest slowdowns expected to continue, beef pricing will remain firm. Multi-unit operators should consider portion strategies or alternative cuts.
Pork
Rib and loin pricing remained elevated, while butts and bellies were flat to slightly down. Trims were mixed. Cutout support continues, driven by domestic demand more than exports.
Outlook: Pork pricing should hold steady near-term, supported by seasonal trends. Tariff and export fluctuations may impact longer-term planning.
Poultry
White meat prices strengthened again, with boneless breasts up to $2.77/lb and tenderloins reaching $2.39/lb. Boneless thighs gained $0.06 to $2.42/lb. Wings declined for a fourth straight week, down to $1.13/lb. Whole birds and drumsticks remained flat.
Outlook: Expect continued support for white meat pricing as labor-efficient proteins remain in demand and harvest volumes stay compressed.
Seafood
Pollock dropped sharply again, now near $1.40/lb. This is typically the seasonal low, with potential firming expected into Q4.
Outlook: Buyers may want to secure current pollock pricing before seasonal increases resume.
Need Help Managing Market Volatility?
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