Commodity forecasting highlights from CommodityONE
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Poultry
Chicken supplies continue to expand, driving lower prices across most poultry categories. Increased production and heavier supply heading into July are creating favorable purchasing conditions for operators managing protein costs.
Outlook: Strong production should keep poultry markets well supplied, with favorable pricing expected through much of the summer.
Beef
Beef supplies remain constrained despite a slight increase in production, while lower feedlot placements point to ongoing supply challenges. Although production is expected to improve during the third quarter, markets remain relatively tight.
Outlook: Beef prices are likely to stay elevated in the near term, with the potential for modest relief later this summer if production forecasts are realized.
Pork
Healthy pork production continues to support stable pricing across most cuts, although seasonal demand is beginning to lift belly prices. Overall supplies remain favorable compared to last year.
Outlook: Expect moderate seasonal strength over the coming months, but overall pork availability should remain sufficient to limit significant price increases.
Produce
Lettuce continues to be the primary area of concern as supply constraints push prices higher, while tomato markets are following a more typical seasonal pattern. Most other produce categories remain relatively stable.
Outlook: Lettuce prices are expected to remain elevated until growing conditions improve, while tomatoes may continue gradual seasonal increases through mid-summer.
Dairy
Dairy markets softened again last week, with butter, cheese, and milk powder prices moving lower as milk production remains ample. Seasonal heat may tighten supplies slightly, but overall market fundamentals remain favorable.
Outlook: Dairy pricing should remain relatively stable this summer, with only modest seasonal upward pressure expected.
Grains
Grain markets posted mixed results as corn, wheat, and soybeans stabilized following recent declines, while soybean oil continued to weaken. Energy markets and crop conditions remain the primary drivers of price movement.
Outlook: Grain markets are expected to remain volatile, though current supply conditions point to limited near-term upward pressure.
Seafood
Fresh yellowfin tuna prices declined sharply after reaching seasonal highs earlier this spring, returning to more typical pricing levels. Seasonal demand is expected to support the market later this summer.
Outlook: Yellowfin tuna prices are expected to gradually strengthen heading into late summer before easing later in the year.
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